Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-299u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
40%
bets
338
drawdown
32.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-70u
period 6top-up-129u
period 5profit withdrawn+86u
period 4profit withdrawn+21u
period 3top-up-75u
period 2top-up-93u
period 1top-up-39u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 338 | 40% | -299 | -9.2% | 32.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 338 | 40% | -302 | -8.9% | 33.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 338 | 40% | -593 | -9.4% | 64.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 61 | 33% | -1344 | -30.6% | 126.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 338 | 40% | -1420 | -10% | 149% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 338 | 40% | -2616 | -10.7% | 266.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 338, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 701 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 9 | lost | -9 | 710 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 719 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 729 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 9 | won | +20 | 739 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 719 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 728 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 738 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +20 | 748 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 728 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | FaZe | 2.58 | 10 | won | +15 | 737 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 9 | won | +10 | 722 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 712 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.94 | 9 | won | +18 | 722 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 9 | won | +17 | 704 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 9 | lost | -9 | 687 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 9 | won | +13 | 696 |
| 07.10.26 | Ryvex – mellren | Ryvex | 2.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 684 |
| 07.10.26 | Leo – Ryvex | Ryvex | 2.36 | 9 | lost | -9 | 693 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 702 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 9 | won | +13 | 712 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 9 | lost | -9 | 699 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 9 | won | +12 | 708 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 9 | won | +14 | 696 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 9 | won | +10 | 683 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 672 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 9 | lost | -9 | 681 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.26 | 9 | lost | -9 | 691 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 700 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | 709 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 719 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 728 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 738 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 748 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 758 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 768 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 10 | won | +17 | 778 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 761 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | PRIVATE | 2.59 | 9 | lost | -9 | 771 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 9 | won | +12 | 780 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 9 | won | +11 | 767 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 9 | lost | -9 | 757 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 9 | won | +10 | 765 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | 755 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | 764 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 9 | won | +15 | 772 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 8 | won | +11 | 757 |
| 27.09.26 | RBLS – SAW | SAW | 2.05 | 8 | won | +9 | 747 |
| 27.09.26 | Lynn Vision – NEXVOID | Lynn Vision | 2.15 | 8 | won | +10 | 738 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 8 | lost | -8 | 728 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 8 | lost | -8 | 737 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | Lilmix | 2.61 | 9 | lost | -9 | 745 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 754 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 9 | won | +12 | 762 |
| 26.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – K27 | EYEBALLERS | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 750 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.24 | 9 | lost | -9 | 759 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 767 |
| 25.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | regain | 2.42 | 9 | lost | -9 | 776 |
| 25.09.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – Procyon | Procyon | 2.28 | 9 | won | +11 | 785 |
| 25.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 774 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.