Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+4555u
ROI
+21.7%
win rate
55%
bets
136
drawdown
29%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-249u
period 3profit withdrawn+3852u
period 2profit withdrawn+39u
period 1profit withdrawn+913u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 136 | 55% | +4555 | +21.7% | 29% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 136 | 55% | +1793 | +21.4% | 16.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 136 | 55% | +1024 | +31.2% | 16.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 136 | 55% | +619 | +21% | 7.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 136 | 55% | +295 | +20.9% | 4.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 136 | 55% | +282 | +20.7% | 4.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 136, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 83 | lost | -83 | 5555 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 93 | lost | -93 | 5638 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 84 | won | +86 | 5731 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 73 | won | +110 | 5645 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 81 | lost | -81 | 5535 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.06 | 90 | lost | -90 | 5616 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.39 | 79 | won | +110 | 5706 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 88 | lost | -88 | 5596 |
| 13.08.26 | BERG – Endless Journey | BERG | 2.16 | 79 | won | +91 | 5684 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 68 | won | +109 | 5593 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 76 | lost | -76 | 5484 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 68 | won | +79 | 5559 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.05 | 61 | won | +64 | 5480 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 2.78 | 68 | lost | -68 | 5416 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.10 | 61 | won | +68 | 5484 |
| 08.08.26 | Imperial – Galorys | Galorys | 2.04 | 68 | lost | -68 | 5416 |
| 07.08.26 | Spirit HU – NRG | Spirit HU | 2.48 | 76 | lost | -76 | 5484 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.35 | 84 | lost | -84 | 5560 |
| 05.08.26 | Liquid – fnatic | Liquid | 2.47 | 73 | won | +108 | 5644 |
| 05.08.26 | 1win – INOX Division | 1win | 2.21 | 65 | won | +79 | 5536 |
| 05.08.26 | NAVI Junior – MAYBE | NAVI Junior | 2.06 | 59 | won | +63 | 5457 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 66 | lost | -66 | 5394 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.19 | 73 | lost | -73 | 5460 |
| 02.08.26 | GenOne – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.32 | 81 | lost | -81 | 5533 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Mai Tai | 2.60 | 90 | lost | -90 | 5614 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | 9INE | 2.61 | 100 | lost | -100 | 5704 |
| 01.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Just Players | Black Phoenix | 2.03 | 91 | won | +93 | 5804 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 101 | lost | -101 | 5711 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | JiJieHao | 2.62 | 112 | lost | -112 | 5812 |
| 01.08.26 | LP – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.21 | 100 | won | +121 | 5924 |
| 31.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE – STATE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.04 | 439 | won | +458 | 5803 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 376 | won | +630 | 5345 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.44 | 418 | lost | -418 | 4716 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.18 | 374 | won | +440 | 5134 |
| 31.07.26 | regain – Chicken Coop | regain | 2.22 | 334 | won | +406 | 4694 |
| 30.07.26 | Just Players – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.21 | 371 | lost | -371 | 4288 |
| 30.07.26 | SINQU – BOJONG | BOJONG | 2.03 | 412 | lost | -412 | 4659 |
| 30.07.26 | Butterfly – Atreides | Atreides | 2.24 | 458 | lost | -458 | 5071 |
| 29.07.26 | Just Players – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 509 | lost | -509 | 5528 |
| 29.07.26 | ex-RUBY – GenOne | GenOne | 2.38 | 447 | won | +618 | 6037 |
| 27.07.26 | PURE – atputies | PURE | 2.07 | 404 | won | +431 | 5419 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.26 | 358 | won | +451 | 4988 |
| 26.07.26 | Honvéd – Privateer | Privateer | 2.04 | 398 | lost | -398 | 4536 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 3.58 | 317 | won | +816 | 4934 |
| 26.07.26 | HOTU – Aurora | Aurora | 2.22 | 282 | won | +345 | 4119 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 314 | lost | -314 | 3773 |
| 26.07.26 | Entropy – Enjoy | Entropy | 2.27 | 348 | lost | -348 | 4087 |
| 25.07.26 | ex-MANA – megoshort | megoshort | 2.32 | 308 | won | +405 | 4435 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ZWAW | DEPO | 2.01 | 280 | won | +282 | 4030 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 251 | won | +289 | 3748 |
| 24.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – ODDIK | ODDIK | 2.01 | 228 | won | +229 | 3459 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Liquid | 2.20 | 203 | won | +244 | 3230 |
| 24.07.26 | SPARTA – Atreides | SPARTA | 2.12 | 226 | lost | -226 | 2985 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | 3DMAX | 2.63 | 194 | won | +317 | 3211 |
| 21.07.26 | Astralis – FOKUS | Astralis | 2.31 | 172 | won | +224 | 2894 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 191 | lost | -191 | 2670 |
| 20.07.26 | Misa – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.03 | 212 | lost | -212 | 2861 |
| 20.07.26 | SAW Youngsters – Misa | Misa | 2.19 | 236 | lost | -236 | 3073 |
| 20.07.26 | BIG Academy – Entropy | Entropy | 2.31 | 208 | won | +273 | 3309 |
| 19.07.26 | Julie&Cie – Strael Bora | Julie&Cie | 2.18 | 186 | won | +220 | 3036 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.