Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-2250u
ROI
-9.5%
win rate
41%
bets
348
drawdown
296.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+77u
period 6top-up-666u
period 5profit withdrawn+478u
period 4top-up-424u
period 3top-up-696u
period 2top-up-675u
period 1top-up-344u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 348 | 41% | -165 | -4.7% | 30.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 348 | 41% | -174 | -5.2% | 30.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 348 | 41% | -365 | -5.6% | 61.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 348 | 41% | -1019 | -7.1% | 153.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1150 | -100% | 115% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 348 | 41% | -2250 | -9.5% | 296.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 348, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 120 | lost | -120 | -1250 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 105 | won | +148 | -1131 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 116 | lost | -116 | -1279 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 129 | lost | -129 | -1162 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 144 | lost | -144 | -1033 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 119 | won | +251 | -889 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 104 | won | +150 | -1140 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 115 | lost | -115 | -1291 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 104 | won | +114 | -1176 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 94 | won | +95 | -1289 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 105 | lost | -105 | -1385 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 87 | won | +180 | -1280 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 73 | won | +138 | -1460 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 65 | won | +78 | -1598 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | FaZe | 2.58 | 56 | won | +89 | -1676 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 51 | won | +54 | -1765 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 56 | lost | -56 | -1819 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 63 | lost | -63 | -1763 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 53 | won | +96 | -1700 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 48 | won | +50 | -1796 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 53 | lost | -53 | -1846 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 59 | lost | -59 | -1793 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 52 | won | +73 | -1734 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 42 | won | +99 | -1806 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 37 | won | +48 | -1906 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1954 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 46 | lost | -46 | -1912 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 41 | won | +53 | -1866 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 36 | won | +50 | -1919 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 40 | lost | -40 | -1969 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | 9z | 2.27 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1930 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 49 | lost | -49 | -1885 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 55 | lost | -55 | -1836 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.26 | 61 | lost | -61 | -1782 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | Sashi | 2.12 | 67 | lost | -67 | -1721 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 75 | lost | -75 | -1654 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 83 | lost | -83 | -1579 |
| 02.10.26 | HAVU – BBL | HAVU | 2.48 | 92 | lost | -92 | -1496 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | benched gods | 2.15 | 103 | lost | -103 | -1404 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 85 | won | +172 | -1301 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 95 | lost | -95 | -1473 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 105 | lost | -105 | -1379 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 90 | won | +154 | -1273 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 100 | lost | -100 | -1427 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | Leo | 2.15 | 37 | lost | -37 | -1327 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 33 | won | +46 | -1290 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 29 | won | +36 | -1336 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | PAQT | 2.36 | 26 | won | +35 | -1371 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 23 | won | +28 | -1406 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1434 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 28 | lost | -28 | -1408 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 24 | won | +42 | -1380 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | SAW | 2.83 | 20 | won | +37 | -1423 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 18 | won | +23 | -1460 |
| 27.09.26 | RBLS – SAW | SAW | 2.05 | 16 | won | +17 | -1482 |
| 27.09.26 | Lynn Vision – NEXVOID | Lynn Vision | 2.15 | 15 | won | +17 | -1499 |
| 27.09.26 | aimclub – Inner Circle Academy | aimclub | 2.05 | 16 | lost | -16 | -1516 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 18 | lost | -18 | -1500 |
| 27.09.26 | Nexus – Black Phoenix | Nexus | 2.33 | 16 | won | +21 | -1482 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 18 | lost | -18 | -1503 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.