Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+1587u
ROI
+4.6%
win rate
47%
bets
339
drawdown
59.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-899u
period 3profit withdrawn+1994u
period 2top-up-360u
period 1profit withdrawn+852u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 339 | 47% | +1587 | +4.6% | 59.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 339 | 47% | +795 | +4.6% | 37.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 339 | 47% | +257 | +3.8% | 25.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 339 | 47% | +115 | +3.4% | 17.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 339 | 47% | +100 | +3% | 19% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 270 | 50% | -493 | -4.9% | 90.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 339, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.19 | 11 | lost | -11 | 2587 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +14 | 2598 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 9 | won | +10 | 2584 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2574 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 2584 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 8 | won | +8 | 2575 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 2567 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 6 | won | +8 | 2558 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 2550 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.56 | 8 | lost | -8 | 2557 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 7 | won | +8 | 2565 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 2558 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 2566 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 8 | won | +10 | 2575 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 2564 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2573 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 11 | lost | -11 | 2583 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 2594 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 11 | lost | -11 | 2583 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 2594 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 11 | lost | -11 | 2584 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.15 | 12 | lost | -12 | 2595 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 11 | won | +16 | 2607 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 12 | lost | -12 | 2591 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.40 | 13 | lost | -13 | 2603 |
| 15.08.26 | Lavked – OG | Lavked | 2.06 | 12 | won | +12 | 2616 |
| 15.08.26 | Privateer – Phantom Academy | Privateer | 2.03 | 13 | lost | -13 | 2604 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.29 | 12 | won | +15 | 2617 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.06 | 13 | lost | -13 | 2602 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.49 | 11 | won | +17 | 2615 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 12 | lost | -12 | 2598 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.39 | 11 | won | +15 | 2611 |
| 14.08.26 | Privateer – Fire Flux | Privateer | 2.23 | 12 | lost | -12 | 2595 |
| 14.08.26 | FUT – MOUZ | FUT | 2.30 | 11 | won | +14 | 2607 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 12 | lost | -12 | 2593 |
| 14.08.26 | Imperial – Isurus | Isurus | 2.08 | 13 | lost | -13 | 2605 |
| 13.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.08 | 15 | lost | -15 | 2619 |
| 13.08.26 | BERG – Endless Journey | BERG | 2.16 | 13 | won | +15 | 2633 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 11 | won | +18 | 2618 |
| 12.08.26 | Spirit – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 2600 |
| 12.08.26 | Luminosity – GamerLegion | Luminosity | 2.01 | 11 | lost | -11 | 2587 |
| 12.08.26 | DONSTU – FORZE Reload | DONSTU | 2.11 | 13 | lost | -13 | 2599 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 14 | lost | -14 | 2611 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 15 | lost | -15 | 2625 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 14 | won | +16 | 2641 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.05 | 13 | won | +13 | 2624 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 14 | lost | -14 | 2611 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 2.78 | 15 | lost | -15 | 2625 |
| 08.08.26 | Eternal Fire – NADE | NADE | 2.07 | 17 | lost | -17 | 2641 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.10 | 15 | won | +17 | 2658 |
| 08.08.26 | Dhala – Prestige | Dhala | 2.07 | 17 | lost | -17 | 2641 |
| 08.08.26 | Imperial – Galorys | Galorys | 2.04 | 19 | lost | -19 | 2658 |
| 07.08.26 | Spirit HU – NRG | Spirit HU | 2.48 | 21 | lost | -21 | 2677 |
| 07.08.26 | levelONE – Phantom | levelONE | 2.18 | 24 | lost | -24 | 2698 |
| 07.08.26 | Liquid – Dhala | Dhala | 2.19 | 26 | lost | -26 | 2722 |
| 07.08.26 | Orion Wanderers – Sashi | Orion Wanderers | 2.31 | 29 | lost | -29 | 2748 |
| 07.08.26 | Nexus – GamersLab | GamersLab | 2.09 | 32 | lost | -32 | 2777 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 3.01 | 36 | lost | -36 | 2810 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | FKOMAR | 2.53 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2846 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.35 | 44 | lost | -44 | 2886 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.