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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-832u
ROI
-5.1%
win rate
42%
bets
875
drawdown
97.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-135u
period 6profit withdrawn+12u
period 5top-up-97u
period 4top-up-44u
period 3top-up-389u
period 2top-up-160u
period 1top-up-19u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)87542%-370-4.2%47.1%Select
1% of bankroll87542%-393-4.6%47.9%Select
2% of bankroll87542%-832-5.1%97.5%Selected
Martingale1323%-976-87.1%97.7%Select
5% of bankroll87542%-2330-6.8%252.7%Select
10% of bankroll87542%-4596-10.5%471.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 875, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9818lost-18168
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5718lost-18186
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4218lost-18204
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4118won+25222
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0118lost-18197
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2918won+23215
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1118lost-18192
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0418won+18210
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1118lost-18192
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6118lost-18210
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1218won+38229
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6418lost-18191
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4518won+26209
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5518lost-18184
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1018won+19202
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1518lost-18182
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1318lost-18200
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0919lost-19219
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1018won+20237
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5119lost-19217
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7019lost-19236
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0119won+19255
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3819lost-19236
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2919lost-19255
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.6119won+30274
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3419lost-19244
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0120lost-20263
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1320lost-20283
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2419won+24303
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7020lost-20279
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0819won+40299
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8918won+35259
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2018won+22224
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2918won+23202
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5817won+27180
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0717won+18153
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5617lost-17135
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4317lost-17152
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3218lost-18169
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8117won+31187
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5017won+25156
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0516won+17131
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1917lost-17114
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0216won+17131
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9317lost-17114
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0717lost-17131
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0417won+17148
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5517lost-17131
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.4017lost-17147
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4017won+23165
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.3616won+38141
07.10.26Revise – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.3116won+20103
07.10.26The KnockoutX – The HunsThe KnockoutX2.1115won+1783
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.2915won+1966
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.1115lost-1547
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.5415lost-1562
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.4516lost-1678
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2915won+2093
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6516lost-1674
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4115won+2189
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.