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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-633u
ROI
-7.4%
win rate
41%
bets
901
drawdown
69.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+14u
period 6top-up-133u
period 5top-up-102u
period 4profit withdrawn+25u
period 3top-up-196u
period 2top-up-232u
period 1top-up-9u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll90141%-633-7.4%69.7%Select
Flat (10 units)90141%-645-7.2%71.7%Select
Martingale1625%-976-81.1%97.7%Select
2% of bankroll90141%-1236-7.7%134.9%Select
5% of bankroll90141%-2804-8.6%298.2%Select
10% of bankroll90141%-4567-10.8%468%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 901, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10367
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.0510won+11377
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10367
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13377
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10364
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10374
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10364
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10374
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21384
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10363
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15373
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.8410lost-10358
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10369
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10379
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10389
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11400
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10388
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7011lost-11399
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+11409
10.10.26regain – VillainousVillainous2.2611lost-11399
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2710won+13409
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2911lost-11396
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.6110won+17407
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10390
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0710won+11400
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1310lost-10389
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+13400
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10387
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19397
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10378
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.3510won+14388
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13375
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerPrivateer3.7810lost-10362
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11372
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10361
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5610lost-10371
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoKaleido2.2010won+12381
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingJust Swing2.3710won+14369
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18356
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5010won+15338
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2410lost-10323
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5110lost-10333
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10343
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9310lost-10333
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPMETANOIA Wolves3.1310lost-10343
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.6910lost-10353
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10363
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0910lost-10373
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+14383
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.3610won+23369
07.10.26Revise – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.3110won+13346
07.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.9710lost-10333
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.2910won+13343
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.8510lost-10330
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.5410lost-10340
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3210lost-10350
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.4510lost-10360
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2910won+13370
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6510lost-10357
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4110won+14367
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.