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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1607u
ROI
-10.2%
win rate
40%
bets
1855
drawdown
162.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-330u
period 6top-up-358u
period 5top-up-418u
period 4top-up-4u
period 3top-up-202u
period 2top-up-285u
period 1top-up-9u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2433%-925-68.5%93.1%Select
1% of bankroll185540%-1607-10.2%162.1%Select
Flat (10 units)185540%-1842-9.9%186.4%Select
2% of bankroll185540%-2800-10.6%281.8%Select
5% of bankroll185540%-4765-11.8%477.5%Select
10% of bankroll185540%-5876-14.3%587.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1855, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-607
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-600
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+11-593
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.417won+9-604
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.057won+7-614
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-621
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+7-614
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-621
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-614
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-608
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.117lost-7-616
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-610
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.167lost-7-603
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.307lost-7-596
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-589
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-596
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-589
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-582
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-575
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-568
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-561
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-554
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.187won+9-547
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-555
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.047lost-7-548
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-540
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.557lost-7-548
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+8-541
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.097lost-7-548
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-541
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-556
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-549
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+11-542
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-552
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-545
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-537
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-530
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-541
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-550
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-542
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-535
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.257lost-7-544
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-536
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.818lost-8-529
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.848lost-8-521
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.108won+8-514
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+8-522
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.838lost-8-530
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.378lost-8-522
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.178won+9-515
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-523
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.408lost-8-533
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.138lost-8-525
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.098lost-8-518
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.108won+8-510
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.458lost-8-518
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.518lost-8-511
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.098won+8-503
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaIberian Soul4.017won+22-511
10.10.26mellren – HonvédHonvéd3.068lost-8-534
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.