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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1599u
ROI
-10.1%
win rate
39%
bets
1819
drawdown
159.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-394u
period 6top-up-216u
period 5top-up-428u
period 4top-up-29u
period 3top-up-264u
period 2top-up-268u
period 1profit withdrawn+2u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2335%-915-69.3%92.2%Select
1% of bankroll181939%-1599-10.1%159.9%Select
Flat (10 units)181939%-1835-10.1%183.5%Select
2% of bankroll181939%-2798-10.3%279.5%Select
5% of bankroll181939%-4816-11%481.6%Select
10% of bankroll181939%-5851-12.1%585.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1819, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-599
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.426lost-6-593
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-587
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+10-581
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+9-591
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-600
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+7-593
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-600
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-594
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+8-588
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-596
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-589
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.166lost-6-583
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.306lost-6-577
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+7-571
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-577
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-571
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.266lost-6-564
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-558
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-551
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-545
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-538
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.187lost-7-531
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-525
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.047lost-7-518
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-511
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.547lost-7-518
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.047lost-7-511
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-504
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-497
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-511
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-504
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+10-497
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-507
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-500
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-493
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-486
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-497
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-505
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-498
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+8-491
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-498
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.257lost-7-507
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147lost-7-500
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+8-493
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+7-501
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-508
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-501
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.157lost-7-494
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-486
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.407lost-7-495
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.497lost-7-488
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.097lost-7-481
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.517lost-7-474
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.457lost-7-466
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.107won+8-459
10.10.26Sangal – PUREPURE2.267lost-7-467
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaIberian Soul4.017won+22-459
10.10.26Misa – AzuolasAzuolas2.347lost-7-481
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalMindfreak2.567lost-7-474
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.