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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-5847u
ROI
-13%
win rate
40%
bets
1823
drawdown
584.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-995u
period 6top-up-995u
period 5top-up-999u
period 4top-up-828u
period 3top-up-983u
period 2top-up-989u
period 1top-up-57u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2335%-915-69.3%92.2%Select
1% of bankroll182340%-1511-9.6%151.1%Select
Flat (10 units)182340%-1703-9.3%170.4%Select
2% of bankroll182340%-2682-9.9%268%Select
5% of bankroll182340%-4753-11.2%475.3%Select
10% of bankroll182340%-5847-13%584.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.981lost-1-4847
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.571lost-1-4846
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.421lost-1-4846
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.191lost-1-4845
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.671won+1-4844
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.051won+1-4845
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.410won+1-4846
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.211lost-1-4847
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.090won+1-4846
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.781lost-1-4847
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.011lost-1-4846
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.291won+1-4845
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.111lost-1-4846
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.901lost-1-4846
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.161lost-1-4845
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.301lost-1-4844
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.041won+1-4843
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.111lost-1-4844
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.101lost-1-4843
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.181lost-1-4842
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.011lost-1-4841
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.691lost-1-4840
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.091lost-1-4839
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.682lost-2-4838
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.181won+2-4836
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.452lost-2-4838
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.071won+1-4836
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.021won+1-4838
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.541lost-1-4839
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.061won+1-4837
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.611lost-1-4839
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.121won+2-4837
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.401lost-1-4840
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.641lost-1-4839
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.451won+2-4837
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.521lost-1-4839
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.902lost-2-4838
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.312lost-2-4836
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.541won+2-4834
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.552lost-2-4837
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.141won+2-4835
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.072lost-2-4837
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.142lost-2-4835
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.202lost-2-4833
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.242won+2-4831
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.072won+2-4833
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.142lost-2-4835
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.102won+2-4833
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.842lost-2-4835
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.022won+2-4833
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.832lost-2-4835
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.152lost-2-4833
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.172won+2-4831
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.252won+2-4833
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.402lost-2-4835
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.132lost-2-4833
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.092lost-2-4831
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.392lost-2-4829
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.102won+2-4827
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.452lost-2-4829
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.