Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-16u
ROI
-2.6%
win rate
31%
bets
13
drawdown
26.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+102u
period 6top-up-185u
period 5profit withdrawn+114u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-50u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 13 | 31% | +566 | +44.9% | 57.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 13 | 31% | -3 | -2.2% | 5.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 13 | 31% | -3 | -2.2% | 5.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 13 | 31% | -6 | -2.3% | 11.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 13 | 31% | -16 | -2.6% | 26.5% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 13 | 31% | -39 | -3.3% | 47.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 13, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 50 | won | +105 | 984 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 45 | won | +94 | 878 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 48 | lost | -48 | 785 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 50 | lost | -50 | 832 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 43 | lost | -43 | 882 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 45 | lost | -45 | 925 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | 970 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1018 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 50 | won | +114 | 1068 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 50 | lost | -50 | 954 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 45 | won | +101 | 1004 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 48 | lost | -48 | 902 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 50 | lost | -50 | 950 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.