Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-133u
ROI
-15.6%
win rate
26%
bets
85
drawdown
18.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-21u
period 6profit withdrawn+4u
period 5top-up-121u
period 4profit withdrawn+32u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2profit withdrawn+12u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 85 | 26% | -133 | -15.6% | 18.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 85 | 26% | -133 | -15.7% | 19.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 85 | 26% | -264 | -15.5% | 36.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 25 | 24% | -415 | -21.6% | 63.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 85 | 26% | -658 | -15.4% | 81.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 85 | 26% | -1311 | -15.2% | 130.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 85, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +20 | 867 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | 847 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 857 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 9 | won | +29 | 866 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 838 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 847 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 857 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 867 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 10 | won | +23 | 877 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 9 | won | +24 | 854 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 830 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 839 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 9 | won | +19 | 849 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 830 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 839 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 849 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Lilmix | 5.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 868 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 878 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 888 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 898 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +21 | 929 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 11 | lost | -11 | 930 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.08 | 11 | lost | -11 | 940 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 11 | lost | -11 | 951 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 11 | lost | -11 | 962 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 11 | won | +23 | 972 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 10 | won | +25 | 950 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 10 | won | +21 | 924 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 904 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 914 |
| 17.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – B8 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.08 | 11 | lost | -11 | 924 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 11 | lost | -11 | 935 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 11 | lost | -11 | 945 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 11 | lost | -11 | 956 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 11 | lost | -11 | 967 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 11 | won | +30 | 978 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 11 | lost | -11 | 947 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 11 | lost | -11 | 958 |
| 10.09.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Zero Tenacity | Noir Verse | 3.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | 969 |
| 09.09.26 | INOX Division – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 3.15 | 11 | won | +23 | 980 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 11 | lost | -11 | 957 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | 968 |
| 03.09.26 | 3DMAX – HOTU | 3DMAX | 3.81 | 11 | won | +30 | 979 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 10 | won | +21 | 949 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 10 | won | +22 | 928 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 906 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 9 | lost | -9 | 885 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 9 | won | +20 | 894 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 874 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 9 | lost | -9 | 883 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 892 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 901 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 910 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 919 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 928 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.