Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-177u
ROI
-23.4%
win rate
24%
bets
76
drawdown
19.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-68u
period 6top-up-7u
period 5top-up-98u
period 4profit withdrawn+33u
period 3top-up-40u
period 2profit withdrawn+2u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 76 | 24% | -176 | -23.5% | 19.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 76 | 24% | -177 | -23.4% | 19.3% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 76 | 24% | -351 | -23.6% | 37.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 22 | 23% | -494 | -27.2% | 66.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 76 | 24% | -856 | -23.9% | 89.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 76 | 24% | -1620 | -24.2% | 161.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 76, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 823 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 833 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | 811 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 821 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 831 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 10 | won | +30 | 841 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 811 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 821 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 831 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 861 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 891 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 891 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 901 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 911 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 921 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 931 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemiga – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 3.40 | 10 | won | +24 | 911 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 887 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 897 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 907 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 927 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 10 | won | +21 | 947 |
| 23.09.26 | QUAZAR – Misa | Misa | 3.06 | 10 | won | +21 | 925 |
| 22.09.26 | benched gods – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.55 | 10 | won | +25 | 905 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 879 |
| 17.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – B8 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 889 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 899 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 12.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 929 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 939 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 10 | won | +29 | 949 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 921 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 931 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 941 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 951 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 10 | won | +20 | 961 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 10 | won | +21 | 940 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 919 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 898 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 10 | won | +22 | 908 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 886 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 906 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 926 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 936 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 946 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 966 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 986 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.