Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-655u
ROI
-44%
win rate
24%
bets
21
drawdown
74.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4profit withdrawn+383u
period 3top-up-98u
period 2profit withdrawn+60u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 74 | 26% | -126 | -17% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -127 | -17.5% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -256 | -17.8% | 38.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -638 | -18.7% | 85.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 21 | 24% | -655 | -44% | 74.4% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -1193 | -19.2% | 128.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 21, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 370 | lost | -370 | 345 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 320 | lost | -320 | 715 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1035 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1195 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1275 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1315 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1335 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 20 | won | +42 | 1345 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1303 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 1313 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | PsychoFace | 3.07 | 160 | won | +331 | 1292 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 80 | lost | -80 | 962 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1042 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1082 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1102 |
| 14.06.26 | K27 – Walczaki | K27 | 3.04 | 40 | won | +82 | 1112 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | aAa | 3.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1030 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1050 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 40 | won | +90 | 1060 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.