Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-127u
ROI
-17.5%
win rate
26%
bets
74
drawdown
20%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-26u
period 6top-up-63u
period 5top-up-54u
period 4profit withdrawn+53u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2profit withdrawn+2u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 74 | 26% | -126 | -17% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -127 | -17.5% | 20% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -256 | -17.8% | 38.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -638 | -18.7% | 85.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 21 | 24% | -655 | -44% | 74.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -1193 | -19.2% | 128.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 74, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +20 | 873 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | 853 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 862 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 9 | won | +28 | 872 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 9 | won | +19 | 843 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 824 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 834 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 9 | won | +22 | 843 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 9 | lost | -9 | 821 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 831 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 840 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 850 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 869 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 879 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 889 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 899 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 908 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 918 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 927 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 947 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 957 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 947 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 957 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 977 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 987 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 10 | won | +22 | 998 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 10 | won | +24 | 976 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 952 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 10 | won | +20 | 962 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 942 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 952 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 962 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 972 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 10 | won | +29 | 1003 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 10.09.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Zero Tenacity | Noir Verse | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1005 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1015 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 10 | won | +21 | 1026 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 10 | won | +22 | 1005 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.13 | 10 | won | +21 | 983 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 9 | won | +21 | 962 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 9 | won | +21 | 941 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 9 | lost | -9 | 921 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 930 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 939 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 948 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 958 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 977 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 986 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 996 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1006 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.