Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-638u
ROI
-18.7%
win rate
26%
bets
74
drawdown
85.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-151u
period 6top-up-322u
period 5top-up-258u
period 4profit withdrawn+280u
period 3top-up-190u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 74 | 26% | -126 | -17% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -127 | -17.5% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -256 | -17.8% | 38.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -638 | -18.7% | 85.1% | Selected |
| Martingale | 21 | 24% | -655 | -44% | 74.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 74 | 26% | -1193 | -19.2% | 128.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 74, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 38 | won | +81 | 362 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 40 | lost | -40 | 281 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 43 | lost | -43 | 321 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 37 | won | +111 | 363 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 33 | won | +69 | 252 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 35 | lost | -35 | 183 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 37 | lost | -37 | 218 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 33 | won | +78 | 255 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 35 | lost | -35 | 177 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 37 | lost | -37 | 212 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 39 | lost | -39 | 248 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 41 | lost | -41 | 287 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 43 | lost | -43 | 328 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 45 | lost | -45 | 371 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 48 | lost | -48 | 416 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 50 | lost | -50 | 463 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 36 | lost | -36 | 513 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 38 | lost | -38 | 549 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 40 | lost | -40 | 586 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 42 | lost | -42 | 626 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 44 | lost | -44 | 668 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 46 | lost | -46 | 711 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 42 | won | +85 | 757 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 44 | lost | -44 | 673 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 46 | lost | -46 | 717 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 49 | lost | -49 | 763 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 51 | lost | -51 | 812 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 54 | lost | -54 | 864 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 57 | lost | -57 | 918 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 51 | won | +110 | 975 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 46 | won | +112 | 865 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 48 | lost | -48 | 753 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 44 | won | +89 | 801 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 46 | lost | -46 | 712 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 49 | lost | -49 | 758 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 51 | lost | -51 | 807 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 54 | lost | -54 | 858 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 57 | lost | -57 | 912 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 60 | lost | -60 | 969 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 52 | won | +149 | 1028 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 55 | lost | -55 | 879 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 58 | lost | -58 | 934 |
| 10.09.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Zero Tenacity | Noir Verse | 3.21 | 61 | lost | -61 | 991 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 64 | lost | -64 | 1052 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 67 | lost | -67 | 1116 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 61 | won | +124 | 1184 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 55 | won | +118 | 1060 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.13 | 50 | won | +106 | 942 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 33 | won | +75 | 835 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 30 | won | +68 | 761 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 32 | lost | -32 | 692 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 33 | lost | -33 | 724 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 35 | lost | -35 | 757 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 37 | lost | -37 | 792 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 39 | lost | -39 | 829 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 41 | lost | -41 | 867 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 43 | lost | -43 | 908 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 45 | lost | -45 | 951 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 48 | lost | -48 | 996 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1044 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.