Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3047u
ROI
-8%
win rate
43%
bets
545
drawdown
257.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-774u
period 6top-up-941u
period 5profit withdrawn+691u
period 4top-up-482u
period 3top-up-299u
period 2top-up-948u
period 1top-up-294u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 545 | 43% | -469 | -9.1% | 48.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 545 | 43% | -498 | -9.1% | 51.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 545 | 43% | -884 | -9% | 89% | Select |
| Martingale | 51 | 41% | -886 | -44.4% | 90.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 545 | 43% | -1867 | -8.6% | 175.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 545 | 43% | -3047 | -8% | 257.7% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 545, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 25 | lost | -25 | -2047 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2022 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | B8 Academy | 1.90 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1994 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 34 | lost | -34 | -1963 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 38 | lost | -38 | -1929 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Inner Circle | 1.99 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1891 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 47 | lost | -47 | -1848 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 39 | won | +82 | -1801 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 43 | lost | -43 | -1884 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.92 | 40 | won | +36 | -1840 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1877 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 49 | lost | -49 | -1833 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | Grêmio | 1.98 | 54 | lost | -54 | -1784 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 60 | lost | -60 | -1729 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 50 | won | +104 | -1669 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 56 | lost | -56 | -1773 |
| 09.10.26 | Zomblers – Desi Boyz | Zomblers | 1.89 | 51 | won | +46 | -1717 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | FaZe | 2.58 | 44 | won | +70 | -1763 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 40 | won | +43 | -1833 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1875 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 41 | won | +37 | -1831 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 1.97 | 45 | lost | -45 | -1868 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.94 | 38 | won | +73 | -1823 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 32 | won | +58 | -1896 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1954 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 31 | won | +44 | -1918 |
| 07.10.26 | Ryvex – mellren | Ryvex | 2.54 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1962 |
| 07.10.26 | Leo – Ryvex | Ryvex | 2.36 | 38 | lost | -38 | -1927 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 43 | lost | -43 | -1889 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 38 | won | +52 | -1846 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1898 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 37 | won | +48 | -1856 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 1.97 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1904 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 36 | won | +53 | -1863 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | ShindeN | 1.93 | 40 | lost | -40 | -1916 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 36 | won | +41 | -1876 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 40 | lost | -40 | -1917 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1877 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.26 | 49 | lost | -49 | -1833 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 54 | lost | -54 | -1785 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 60 | lost | -60 | -1730 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 67 | lost | -67 | -1670 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 74 | lost | -74 | -1603 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 83 | lost | -83 | -1529 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 92 | lost | -92 | -1446 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | Astralis | 1.94 | 84 | won | +79 | -1354 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 93 | lost | -93 | -1433 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 104 | lost | -104 | -1339 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 89 | won | +151 | -1235 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.97 | 98 | lost | -98 | -1387 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | Famalicão | 1.94 | 90 | won | +85 | -1288 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 100 | lost | -100 | -1373 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | PRIVATE | 2.59 | 7 | lost | -7 | -1273 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 6 | won | +8 | -1267 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 5 | won | +6 | -1275 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1281 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 5 | won | +6 | -1275 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1281 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1276 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 5 | won | +9 | -1270 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.