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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-382u
ROI
-7.4%
win rate
43%
bets
544
drawdown
53.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+46u
period 6top-up-136u
period 5profit withdrawn+35u
period 4top-up-147u
period 3top-up-33u
period 2top-up-161u
period 1profit withdrawn+14u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll54443%-382-7.4%53.3%Select
Flat (10 units)54443%-389-7.1%54.4%Select
2% of bankroll54443%-748-7.7%98.5%Select
Martingale4551%-871-47%89.2%Select
5% of bankroll54443%-1740-8.3%196.2%Select
10% of bankroll54443%-3086-9%279.4%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 544, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9811lost-11618
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4110won+15629
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1111lost-11614
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1111lost-11624
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9911lost-11635
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6111lost-11646
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1211won+22657
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15634
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5511lost-11619
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11630
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+10618
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9010won+9608
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0110lost-10598
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+21609
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19588
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2010won+12569
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+15557
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+10542
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10531
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3210lost-10541
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+17551
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0410won+10534
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10524
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.4010lost-10533
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+13543
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.369won+22529
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.299won+12507
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.119lost-9496
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.549lost-9505
07.10.26G2 Ares – Falcons ForceFalcons Force1.9610lost-10514
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.299won+12524
06.10.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA1.979lost-9512
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.419won+13521
05.10.26PARIVISION – FURIAPARIVISION2.329lost-9508
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.2710lost-10517
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.4110lost-10527
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.4510lost-10537
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.2610lost-10546
02.10.26BC.Game – SashiSashi2.1210lost-10556
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3010lost-10566
02.10.26Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2310lost-10576
02.10.26HAVU – BBLHAVU2.4810lost-10586
02.10.26Fire Flux – benched godsbenched gods2.1510lost-10597
02.10.26BBL – SportsBetExpertBBL3.0210won+20607
02.10.26Astralis – FaZeAstralis1.9410won+9586
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4410lost-10577
01.10.26FaZe – NemigaFaZe3.9810lost-10587
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7110won+17597
01.10.26HOTU – NemesisNemesis1.9010won+9580
01.10.26SINQU – FamalicãoFamalicão1.9410won+9571
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2910lost-10562
30.09.26Leo – mellrenLeo2.159lost-9572
29.09.26MASONIC – EnjoyMASONIC2.409won+12581
29.09.26WW – DNKDNK2.249won+11569
29.09.26DEPO – PAQTPAQT2.368won+11558
28.09.26Leo – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.218won+10547
28.09.26Marsborne – FarmVilleFarmVille2.848lost-8537
28.09.26regain – LAGregain2.218lost-8545
28.09.26Galorys – ProcyonProcyon2.778won+15553
27.09.26Fluxo – SAWSAW2.838won+15539
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.