Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-893u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
43%
bets
543
drawdown
104.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-68u
period 6top-up-257u
period 5profit withdrawn+59u
period 4top-up-278u
period 3top-up-70u
period 2top-up-305u
period 1profit withdrawn+26u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -454 | -8.9% | 57.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 43% | -460 | -8.5% | 58.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 45 | 51% | -871 | -47% | 89.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -893 | -9.2% | 104.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -2089 | -10.2% | 206.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -3657 | -11.4% | 288.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 18 | won | +26 | 107 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 19 | lost | -19 | 81 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 19 | lost | -19 | 100 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | 119 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 20 | lost | -20 | 138 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 19 | won | +40 | 158 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 18 | won | +27 | 118 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.92 | 18 | won | +17 | 91 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 18 | lost | -18 | 74 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.63 | 18 | won | +29 | 93 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 18 | lost | -18 | 64 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 18 | won | +19 | 82 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 17 | won | +35 | 63 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 17 | lost | -17 | 28 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 17 | won | +20 | 45 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | Saint Sinners | 2.54 | 16 | won | +25 | 25 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 16 | won | +17 | -1 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | EAC | 2.12 | 16 | lost | -16 | -18 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 16 | won | +15 | -2 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.19 | 17 | lost | -17 | -16 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 17 | lost | -17 | 0 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 16 | won | +29 | 17 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.07 | 16 | won | +17 | -12 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 15 | won | +22 | -30 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 16 | lost | -16 | -51 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 15 | won | +20 | -35 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 16 | lost | -16 | -55 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 16 | lost | -16 | -39 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.96 | 16 | lost | -16 | -23 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 17 | lost | -17 | -7 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 1.97 | 17 | lost | -17 | 10 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 17 | won | +25 | 27 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | ShindeN | 1.93 | 17 | lost | -17 | 2 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 17 | won | +19 | 19 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 17 | lost | -17 | 0 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 17 | lost | -17 | 17 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 18 | lost | -18 | 34 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | Sashi | 2.12 | 18 | lost | -18 | 52 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 18 | lost | -18 | 70 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 19 | lost | -19 | 88 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 19 | lost | -19 | 106 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 19 | lost | -19 | 125 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 145 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | Astralis | 1.94 | 19 | won | +18 | 165 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 146 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 20 | lost | -20 | 166 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 20 | won | +33 | 187 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.97 | 20 | lost | -20 | 153 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | Famalicão | 1.94 | 20 | won | +18 | 173 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 20 | lost | -20 | 155 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.45 | 15 | lost | -15 | 175 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 15 | won | +21 | 190 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 14 | won | +18 | 169 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 15 | lost | -15 | 151 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.90 | 14 | won | +13 | 166 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 15 | lost | -15 | 153 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 15 | lost | -15 | 168 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 15 | won | +26 | 183 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | KUUSAMO | 1.96 | 15 | lost | -15 | 157 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | INFINITE | 1.95 | 15 | won | +14 | 172 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.