Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-5097u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
45%
bets
1374
drawdown
293.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-654u
period 6top-up-952u
period 5top-up-666u
period 4top-up-928u
period 3top-up-919u
period 2top-up-951u
period 1top-up-27u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 1374 | 45% | -543 | -4% | 63.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -574 | -4.3% | 65.9% | Select |
| Martingale | 87 | 48% | -735 | -25.1% | 80.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -1190 | -4.7% | 124.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -3016 | -5.9% | 244.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -5097 | -7.7% | 293.3% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 38 | lost | -38 | -4097 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 43 | lost | -43 | -4059 |
| 14.10.26 | Astralis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.42 | 47 | lost | -47 | -4016 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 42 | won | +59 | -3969 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 46 | lost | -46 | -4028 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 41 | won | +53 | -3981 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 45 | lost | -45 | -4034 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 41 | won | +43 | -3989 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 46 | lost | -46 | -4031 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Inner Circle | 1.99 | 51 | lost | -51 | -3986 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 56 | lost | -56 | -3935 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | Overtake Sector | 1.96 | 52 | won | +50 | -3878 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 57 | lost | -57 | -3928 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 47 | won | +100 | -3871 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 52 | lost | -52 | -3971 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 46 | won | +66 | -3918 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 51 | lost | -51 | -3985 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 57 | lost | -57 | -3934 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 51 | won | +56 | -3877 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 57 | lost | -57 | -3933 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 63 | lost | -63 | -3877 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 70 | lost | -70 | -3814 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 63 | won | +69 | -3744 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 70 | lost | -70 | -3813 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 78 | lost | -78 | -3743 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 71 | won | +72 | -3665 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 78 | lost | -78 | -3737 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | Grêmio | 1.98 | 87 | lost | -87 | -3658 |
| 10.10.26 | Galorys – Turma do Pagode | Galorys | 1.90 | 80 | won | +72 | -3571 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 89 | lost | -89 | -3643 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | MOUZ NXT | 2.61 | 77 | won | +123 | -3554 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 85 | lost | -85 | -3677 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 95 | lost | -95 | -3592 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | BORING PLAYERS | 2.13 | 105 | lost | -105 | -3498 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 93 | won | +116 | -3393 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 104 | lost | -104 | -3509 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 86 | won | +178 | -3405 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 72 | won | +137 | -3583 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 65 | won | +77 | -3720 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | LP | 2.29 | 57 | won | +74 | -3797 |
| 09.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – ALKA | ALKA | 1.96 | 64 | lost | -64 | -3871 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 1.99 | 58 | won | +57 | -3808 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | FaZe | 2.58 | 50 | won | +79 | -3865 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | SINNERS | 1.97 | 55 | lost | -55 | -3944 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 50 | won | +54 | -3889 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 56 | lost | -56 | -3942 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 62 | lost | -62 | -3886 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 69 | lost | -69 | -3825 |
| 08.10.26 | bLight blue – BORING PLAYERS | bLight blue | 1.94 | 76 | lost | -76 | -3756 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 70 | won | +64 | -3680 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 59 | won | +107 | -3743 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | 6666 | 2.50 | 51 | won | +77 | -3850 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 47 | won | +49 | -3928 |
| 08.10.26 | Banda Chuya – Illyrians | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 52 | lost | -52 | -3977 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 47 | won | +48 | -3925 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Wanted Goons | 2.93 | 52 | lost | -52 | -3973 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 58 | lost | -58 | -3921 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.90 | 53 | won | +48 | -3863 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 48 | won | +50 | -3911 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 54 | lost | -54 | -3961 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.