Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1320u
ROI
-5.3%
win rate
45%
bets
1378
drawdown
129.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-284u
period 6top-up-402u
period 5top-up-86u
period 4top-up-100u
period 3top-up-292u
period 2top-up-158u
period 1profit withdrawn+2u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 1378 | 45% | -619 | -4.5% | 63.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1378 | 45% | -645 | -4.9% | 66.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 84 | 49% | -755 | -25.7% | 81.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1378 | 45% | -1320 | -5.3% | 129.1% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 1378 | 45% | -3253 | -6.5% | 284.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1378 | 45% | -5395 | -8.7% | 401.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1378, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.64 | 15 | lost | -15 | -320 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 14 | won | +15 | -306 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 15 | lost | -15 | -320 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 15 | lost | -15 | -306 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 15 | won | +15 | -291 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 15 | lost | -15 | -306 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 1.93 | 15 | lost | -15 | -291 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | B8 Academy | 1.90 | 16 | lost | -16 | -276 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 16 | lost | -16 | -260 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 15 | won | +20 | -245 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 16 | lost | -16 | -264 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 15 | won | +16 | -249 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 16 | lost | -16 | -265 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 16 | lost | -16 | -249 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 16 | lost | -16 | -233 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 17 | lost | -17 | -216 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 17 | lost | -17 | -200 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 16 | won | +35 | -183 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 16 | won | +19 | -217 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 16 | won | +23 | -236 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 16 | lost | -16 | -259 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.92 | 16 | won | +14 | -243 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 16 | lost | -16 | -257 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 16 | lost | -16 | -242 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 17 | lost | -17 | -225 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 17 | lost | -17 | -209 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 17 | lost | -17 | -192 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 18 | lost | -18 | -175 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 18 | lost | -18 | -157 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | Villainous | 2.26 | 18 | lost | -18 | -139 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 18 | won | +18 | -121 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | Grêmio | 1.98 | 18 | lost | -18 | -139 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 19 | lost | -19 | -121 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 19 | lost | -19 | -102 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – Just Players | Saint Sinners | 2.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | -83 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 20 | lost | -20 | -64 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 19 | won | +28 | -44 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitalem Aerem – Rare Atom | Vitalem Aerem | 2.48 | 19 | won | +28 | -72 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 18 | won | +23 | -100 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 19 | lost | -19 | -122 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 18 | won | +34 | -104 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 18 | lost | -18 | -138 |
| 09.10.26 | Chicken Coop – DETONATE | DETONATE | 1.97 | 19 | lost | -19 | -120 |
| 09.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – ALKA | ALKA | 1.96 | 19 | lost | -19 | -101 |
| 09.10.26 | Grêmio – Yawara | Grêmio | 2.05 | 19 | lost | -19 | -82 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 1.99 | 19 | won | +19 | -62 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 19 | lost | -19 | -81 |
| 08.10.26 | Just Players – ENCE | ENCE | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | -62 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 19 | won | +21 | -42 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | Nexus | 1.96 | 19 | won | +18 | -63 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 19 | lost | -19 | -81 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 19 | won | +23 | -61 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 19 | won | +25 | -84 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 18 | won | +32 | -110 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 18 | lost | -18 | -142 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Azuolas | 2.53 | 19 | lost | -19 | -124 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 18 | won | +19 | -105 |
| 08.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.51 | 19 | lost | -19 | -124 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 18 | won | +19 | -106 |
| 08.10.26 | OverKnight – Desi Boyz | OverKnight | 1.97 | 19 | lost | -19 | -124 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.