Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-574u
ROI
-4.3%
win rate
45%
bets
1374
drawdown
65.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-36u
period 6top-up-99u
period 5profit withdrawn+18u
period 4top-up-153u
period 3top-up-167u
period 2top-up-159u
period 1profit withdrawn+22u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 1374 | 45% | -543 | -4% | 63.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -574 | -4.3% | 65.9% | Select |
| Martingale | 87 | 48% | -735 | -25.1% | 80.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -1190 | -4.7% | 124.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -3016 | -5.9% | 244.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1374 | 45% | -5097 | -7.7% | 293.3% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 426 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | 436 |
| 14.10.26 | Astralis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 446 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 456 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 442 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 452 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 439 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 449 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 439 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Inner Circle | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 449 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 459 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | Overtake Sector | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 469 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 459 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 469 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 448 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +14 | 458 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 444 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 454 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 464 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 453 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 463 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 473 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 483 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 472 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 10 | lost | -10 | 483 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 493 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 482 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | Grêmio | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 493 |
| 10.10.26 | Galorys – Turma do Pagode | Galorys | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 503 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 494 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | MOUZ NXT | 2.61 | 10 | won | +17 | 504 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 488 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 498 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | BORING PLAYERS | 2.13 | 11 | lost | -11 | 509 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 10 | won | +13 | 519 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 11 | lost | -11 | 506 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 517 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 10 | won | +19 | 495 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 476 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | LP | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 464 |
| 09.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – ALKA | ALKA | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 451 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 1.99 | 10 | won | +10 | 461 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | FaZe | 2.58 | 10 | won | +15 | 452 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | SINNERS | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 436 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +10 | 446 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 436 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 445 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 455 |
| 08.10.26 | bLight blue – BORING PLAYERS | bLight blue | 1.94 | 10 | lost | -10 | 465 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 476 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 466 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | 6666 | 2.50 | 10 | won | +15 | 449 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 434 |
| 08.10.26 | Banda Chuya – Illyrians | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 424 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 434 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Wanted Goons | 2.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 424 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 433 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 443 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 434 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 424 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.