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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1365u
ROI
-5.7%
win rate
45%
bets
1373
drawdown
136.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-183u
period 6top-up-301u
period 5profit withdrawn+7u
period 4top-up-298u
period 3top-up-317u
period 2top-up-313u
period 1profit withdrawn+39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137345%-654-4.8%72.5%Select
1% of bankroll137345%-674-5.2%73.6%Select
Martingale8748%-735-25.1%80.3%Select
2% of bankroll137345%-1365-5.7%136.6%Select
5% of bankroll137345%-3273-7%258.4%Select
10% of bankroll137345%-5259-8.8%299.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5717lost-17-365
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4217lost-17-348
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4117won+23-331
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0117lost-17-354
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2916won+21-337
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1117lost-17-359
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0416won+17-342
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.9917lost-17-359
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4517lost-17-342
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9617lost-17-325
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9617won+16-308
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6118lost-18-324
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1217won+36-307
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.9717lost-17-342
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4517won+24-325
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9717lost-17-349
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.9217won+15-332
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.9516won+16-347
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3717lost-17-363
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4917lost-17-346
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0917lost-17-329
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5118lost-18-312
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1017won+19-294
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7018lost-18-313
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.6317won+28-295
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0117won+17-323
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2716won+21-340
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0817lost-17-361
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2917lost-17-345
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.9317lost-17-327
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3418lost-18-310
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0717won+19-292
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoThe Huns2.0118lost-18-311
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2417won+21-293
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7018lost-18-315
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0817won+35-297
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0517lost-17-332
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2017won+20-315
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2917won+21-335
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9617lost-17-356
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9917won+16-340
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenSaint Sinners2.5416won+25-356
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5816won+25-381
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0715won+16-405
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4316lost-16-421
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.1216lost-16-406
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9116won+14-390
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSbLight blue1.9416lost-16-404
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXTHE UNIT1.9516lost-16-388
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10LFO 102.1917lost-17-372
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5317lost-17-356
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2417lost-17-339
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5118lost-18-322
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0217won+18-304
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleVillainous2.0618lost-18-322
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9017won+16-304
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0417won+18-320
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0717lost-17-337
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.8117won+30-320
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.0716won+17-350
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.