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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2079u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
43%
bets
2832
drawdown
203.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-348u
period 6top-up-455u
period 5top-up-401u
period 4top-up-226u
period 3top-up-224u
period 2top-up-379u
period 1top-up-47u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale17247%-559-9.8%73.6%Select
1% of bankroll283243%-2079-8.9%203.8%Select
Flat (10 units)283243%-2416-8.5%236.2%Select
2% of bankroll283243%-3560-9.2%336.9%Select
5% of bankroll283243%-5715-9.7%492.3%Select
10% of bankroll283243%-6584-10%499.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.047lost-7-1079
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.457lost-7-1073
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.647lost-7-1066
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.297lost-7-1059
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.087won+7-1053
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.027lost-7-1060
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.927won+6-1053
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.987lost-7-1059
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.357won+9-1052
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-1061
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.937lost-7-1055
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-1048
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+11-1041
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.057won+7-1052
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.907lost-7-1059
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-1053
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+7-1046
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-1053
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-1046
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-1039
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.117lost-7-1048
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-1041
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.167lost-7-1034
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.907lost-7-1027
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-1020
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.997lost-7-1027
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-1020
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-1013
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.957lost-7-1006
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-999
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-991
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.698lost-8-984
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.098lost-8-976
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.688lost-8-969
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.188won+9-961
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.998lost-8-970
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.458lost-8-962
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.078won+8-954
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.028won+8-963
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.548lost-8-970
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.068won+8-963
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.968lost-8-971
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.968won+7-963
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.098lost-8-970
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.128won+16-963
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.408lost-8-979
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.648lost-8-971
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.918won+7-963
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.458won+11-970
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.978lost-8-981
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.528lost-8-974
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.908lost-8-966
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.318lost-8-958
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.548won+12-950
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.558lost-8-962
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.148won+9-954
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.078lost-8-963
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.148lost-8-955
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.078won+8-948
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.258lost-8-956
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.