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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2057u
ROI
-9.1%
win rate
43%
bets
2837
drawdown
197.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-435u
period 6top-up-430u
period 5top-up-431u
period 4top-up-257u
period 3top-up-195u
period 2top-up-334u
period 1profit withdrawn+26u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13350%-532-10.6%70.3%Select
1% of bankroll283743%-2057-9.1%197.5%Select
Flat (10 units)283743%-2428-8.6%232.7%Select
2% of bankroll283743%-3475-9.7%307.5%Select
5% of bankroll283743%-5417-10.7%384.9%Select
10% of bankroll283743%-6158-11.3%324.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2837, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.10.26Rare Atom – RoosterRooster2.006won+6-1057
15.10.26LP – GalorysLP2.256won+7-1062
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.046lost-6-1069
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.356lost-6-1064
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.646lost-6-1058
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.366lost-6-1052
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic1.946won+5-1046
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.136lost-6-1052
14.10.26Younglings – NTYounglings1.996won+6-1046
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.926won+5-1052
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.036won+6-1057
14.10.26EXODIA – realgotis22EXODIA2.016lost-6-1063
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.986lost-6-1057
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.356won+8-1051
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-1059
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.936lost-6-1053
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-1047
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+10-1042
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.056won+6-1051
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+8-1057
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-1065
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+6-1059
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-1065
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-1060
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+7-1054
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-1061
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-1056
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.046lost-6-1050
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.906lost-6-1044
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+6-1038
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.996lost-6-1044
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-1039
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-1033
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.956lost-6-1027
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.186lost-6-1021
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.016lost-6-1015
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-1008
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-1002
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-996
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.186won+7-990
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.996lost-6-997
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-991
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-984
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+7-978
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.556lost-6-984
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.066won+7-978
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.966lost-6-985
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.966won+6-978
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.616lost-6-984
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-978
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-991
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.976lost-6-985
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+8-979
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.976lost-6-986
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-980
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-989
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.906lost-6-982
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-976
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.546won+10-970
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.926won+6-979
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.