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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2187u
ROI
-9.4%
win rate
42%
bets
2823
drawdown
210.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-446u
period 6top-up-387u
period 5top-up-305u
period 4top-up-296u
period 3top-up-294u
period 2top-up-430u
period 1top-up-29u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13348%-552-11.4%70.3%Select
1% of bankroll282342%-2187-9.4%210.3%Select
Flat (10 units)282342%-2570-9.1%246.1%Select
2% of bankroll282342%-3708-9.6%334.2%Select
5% of bankroll282342%-5789-9.7%438.1%Select
10% of bankroll282342%-6522-8.7%389.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-1187
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.426lost-6-1181
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-1175
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+9-1170
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.906lost-6-1179
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+8-1173
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-1181
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+6-1176
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-1182
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-1176
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+7-1171
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-1178
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-1172
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.166lost-6-1166
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.306lost-6-1161
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+6-1155
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-1161
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.996lost-6-1155
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-1149
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.966won+6-1143
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.266lost-6-1149
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.016lost-6-1143
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-1137
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-1131
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-1124
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.186lost-6-1118
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.996lost-6-1112
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-1106
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-1099
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+7-1093
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-1099
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.047lost-7-1093
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.967lost-7-1086
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.967won+6-1080
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-1086
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+14-1079
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-1093
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-1086
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.977lost-7-1080
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+10-1073
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.977lost-7-1083
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-1076
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-1069
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-1063
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+10-1056
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.927won+6-1066
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-1072
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-1080
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-1073
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+7-1066
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+8-1073
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.257lost-7-1082
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147lost-7-1075
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.957won+6-1068
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+7-1075
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.927won+6-1082
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.026won+7-1088
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.967lost-7-1094
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-1088
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-1081
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.