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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-3560u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
43%
bets
2832
drawdown
336.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-591u
period 6top-up-728u
period 5top-up-661u
period 4top-up-427u
period 3top-up-417u
period 2top-up-634u
period 1top-up-101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale17247%-559-9.8%73.6%Select
1% of bankroll283243%-2079-8.9%203.8%Select
Flat (10 units)283243%-2416-8.5%236.2%Select
2% of bankroll283243%-3560-9.2%336.9%Selected
5% of bankroll283243%-5715-9.7%492.3%Select
10% of bankroll283243%-6584-10%499.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.048lost-8-2560
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.459lost-9-2552
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.649lost-9-2543
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.299lost-9-2535
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.089won+9-2526
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.029lost-9-2535
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.929won+8-2526
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.989lost-9-2534
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.359won+12-2525
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.579lost-9-2537
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.939lost-9-2528
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.199lost-9-2519
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.679won+15-2510
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.059won+9-2525
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.909lost-9-2534
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.219lost-9-2525
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.099won+10-2516
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.789lost-9-2526
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.019lost-9-2517
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.299won+12-2508
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9-2519
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.909lost-9-2510
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.1610lost-10-2501
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.9010lost-10-2491
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10-2481
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.9910lost-10-2491
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10-2481
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-2471
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.9510lost-10-2461
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1811lost-11-2451
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0111lost-11-2440
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6911lost-11-2430
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0911lost-11-2418
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6811lost-11-2407
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.1811won+13-2396
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9911lost-11-2409
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4512lost-12-2398
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0711won+12-2386
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0211won+11-2398
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5411lost-11-2410
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0611won+12-2398
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9611lost-11-2410
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9611won+11-2398
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0911lost-11-2409
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1211won+23-2398
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4011lost-11-2421
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6411lost-11-2410
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.9111won+10-2398
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4511won+16-2409
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9711lost-11-2424
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5211lost-11-2413
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9012lost-12-2402
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3112lost-12-2390
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5411won+18-2379
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5512lost-12-2396
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1411won+13-2385
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0712lost-12-2398
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1412lost-12-2386
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0712won+12-2374
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2512lost-12-2386
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.