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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-3415u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
43%
bets
2832
drawdown
323.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-582u
period 6top-up-706u
period 5top-up-719u
period 4top-up-255u
period 3top-up-417u
period 2top-up-634u
period 1top-up-101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale17247%-559-9.8%73.6%Select
1% of bankroll283243%-1996-8.6%195.8%Select
Flat (10 units)283243%-2330-8.2%228.1%Select
2% of bankroll283243%-3415-8.9%323.5%Selected
5% of bankroll283243%-5557-9.6%479.2%Select
10% of bankroll283243%-6556-10.3%497.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.359lost-9-2415
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.649lost-9-2406
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.039lost-9-2398
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic1.949won+8-2389
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.089won+9-2397
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.928won+8-2406
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.029lost-9-2414
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.989lost-9-2405
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.039won+9-2397
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.579lost-9-2405
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.939lost-9-2397
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.199lost-9-2388
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.679won+15-2379
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.419won+12-2393
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.058won+9-2405
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.219lost-9-2414
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.098won+9-2406
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.789lost-9-2415
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.019lost-9-2406
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.298won+11-2398
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9-2409
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.909lost-9-2400
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.049lost-9-2391
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.309lost-9-2382
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.049won+9-2373
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.119lost-9-2382
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.999lost-9-2373
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-2364
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.969won+9-2354
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.2610lost-10-2363
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-2353
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-2344
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-2334
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6810lost-10-2323
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.1811lost-11-2313
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9911lost-11-2302
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4511lost-11-2292
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0711won+12-2281
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0211won+11-2292
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5411lost-11-2303
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0611won+11-2292
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9611lost-11-2303
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1811lost-11-2293
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6111lost-11-2282
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1211won+23-2270
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4011lost-11-2293
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.9111won+10-2282
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6411lost-11-2292
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4511won+16-2281
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9711lost-11-2296
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5211lost-11-2285
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9011lost-11-2274
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3112lost-12-2263
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5411won+17-2251
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5512lost-12-2269
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1411won+13-2257
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0711lost-11-2270
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1412lost-12-2259
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2411won+14-2247
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2512lost-12-2261
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.