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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2373u
ROI
-8.4%
win rate
43%
bets
2828
drawdown
232%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-584u
period 6top-up-432u
period 5top-up-582u
period 4top-up-169u
period 3top-up-190u
period 2top-up-394u
period 1top-up-22u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13350%-606-11.7%73.3%Select
1% of bankroll282843%-2021-8.6%198.1%Select
Flat (10 units)282843%-2373-8.4%232%Select
2% of bankroll282843%-3446-8.7%326.1%Select
5% of bankroll282843%-5550-9.1%477.3%Select
10% of bankroll282843%-6479-9.5%489.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2828, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.6410lost-10-1373
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.0310won+10-1363
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.1310lost-10-1373
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10-1363
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.0310won+10-1353
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10-1364
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.9310lost-10-1354
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.1910lost-10-1344
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.6710won+17-1334
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.0510won+11-1350
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.9010lost-10-1361
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.2110lost-10-1351
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.0910won+11-1341
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.7810lost-10-1352
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10-1342
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13-1332
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10-1345
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.9010lost-10-1335
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.0410lost-10-1325
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.3010lost-10-1315
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10-1305
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.9910lost-10-1315
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10-1305
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-1295
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.9510lost-10-1285
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1810lost-10-1275
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-1265
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-1255
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-1245
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6810lost-10-1235
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.1810won+12-1225
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9910lost-10-1237
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-1227
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0710won+11-1217
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-1228
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5510lost-10-1238
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-1228
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10-1238
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1810lost-10-1228
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10-1218
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-1208
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-1230
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.9710lost-10-1220
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12-1210
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14-1222
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9710lost-10-1236
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-1226
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-1216
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-1206
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+15-1196
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.9210won+9-1212
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-1221
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-1232
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1410lost-10-1222
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0710won+11-1212
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2510lost-10-1223
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.2010lost-10-1213
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.8110lost-10-1203
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.8410lost-10-1193
11.10.26Bounty Hunters – LPLP1.9110won+9-1183
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.