Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3474u
ROI
-9%
win rate
55%
bets
548
drawdown
351.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-541u
period 6top-up-701u
period 5top-up-663u
period 4top-up-171u
period 3top-up-311u
period 2top-up-708u
period 1top-up-379u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 548 | 55% | +715 | +5.6% | 21.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 548 | 55% | -329 | -6% | 34.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -337 | -6.3% | 34.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -688 | -6.7% | 70.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -1772 | -7.6% | 181% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -3474 | -9% | 351.5% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 548, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FOKUS – Younglings | FOKUS | 1.58 | 43 | won | +25 | -2474 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 48 | lost | -48 | -2499 |
| 14.10.26 | G2 Ares – The Last Resort | G2 Ares | 1.77 | 45 | won | +35 | -2451 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 43 | won | +16 | -2485 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.76 | 48 | lost | -48 | -2502 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Gothic | 1.74 | 53 | lost | -53 | -2454 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 50 | won | +35 | -2400 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 46 | won | +37 | -2435 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 44 | won | +23 | -2472 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 42 | won | +20 | -2495 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 46 | lost | -46 | -2515 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 52 | lost | -52 | -2469 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 49 | won | +24 | -2417 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | WBT Academy | 1.72 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2442 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 61 | lost | -61 | -2387 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 56 | won | +45 | -2326 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 62 | lost | -62 | -2371 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 58 | won | +43 | -2309 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 65 | lost | -65 | -2352 |
| 09.10.26 | Zomblers – Desi Boyz | Desi Boyz | 1.88 | 72 | lost | -72 | -2288 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 80 | lost | -80 | -2216 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 89 | lost | -89 | -2136 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | PURE | 1.70 | 83 | won | +58 | -2048 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 76 | won | +63 | -2105 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 71 | won | +58 | -2168 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | BESTIA Academy | 1.87 | 79 | lost | -79 | -2226 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – RBLS | SAW | 1.63 | 87 | lost | -87 | -2148 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 97 | lost | -97 | -2060 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 108 | lost | -108 | -1963 |
| 07.10.26 | Ryvex – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 103 | won | +52 | -1855 |
| 07.10.26 | LFO 10 – MAYBE | LFO 10 | 1.77 | 95 | won | +74 | -1907 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 89 | won | +63 | -1981 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 99 | lost | -99 | -2044 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | OG | 1.59 | 93 | won | +55 | -1945 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | benched gods | 1.66 | 88 | won | +58 | -2000 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 81 | won | +66 | -2058 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | G2 | 1.52 | 90 | lost | -90 | -2123 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 83 | won | +70 | -2033 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 78 | won | +48 | -2104 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 74 | won | +41 | -2152 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 72 | won | +21 | -2192 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | FOKUS | 1.72 | 80 | lost | -80 | -2214 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | BC.Game | 1.70 | 75 | won | +52 | -2134 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 72 | won | +23 | -2186 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 80 | lost | -80 | -2209 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 76 | won | +47 | -2129 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 70 | won | +53 | -2175 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 78 | lost | -78 | -2229 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 87 | lost | -87 | -2150 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 83 | won | +44 | -2063 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 77 | won | +53 | -2108 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 86 | lost | -86 | -2160 |
| 01.10.26 | HOTU – Nemesis | HOTU | 1.87 | 95 | lost | -95 | -2074 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 106 | lost | -106 | -1979 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 100 | won | +60 | -1873 |
| 30.09.26 | EVO Elite – Magnum | Magnum | 1.87 | 27 | won | +24 | -1933 |
| 29.09.26 | Privateer – eternal premium | eternal premium | 1.56 | 26 | won | +15 | -1957 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1972 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – ARCRED | WW | 1.74 | 32 | lost | -32 | -1943 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1911 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.