Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-193u
ROI
-1.8%
win rate
58%
bets
547
drawdown
39.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-45u
period 6profit withdrawn+90u
period 5top-up-243u
period 4profit withdrawn+107u
period 3top-up-80u
period 2top-up-62u
period 1profit withdrawn+40u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 547 | 58% | +604 | +4.7% | 34.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 547 | 58% | -83 | -1.5% | 22.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -90 | -1.6% | 21.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -193 | -1.8% | 39.6% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -590 | -2.1% | 78.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -1543 | -2.8% | 143.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 547, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | HOTU | 1.77 | 19 | lost | -19 | 807 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | FORZE Reload | 1.69 | 19 | won | +13 | 827 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 19 | won | +7 | 813 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.76 | 19 | lost | -19 | 806 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 19 | won | +17 | 826 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 19 | won | +13 | 809 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 19 | won | +13 | 796 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 18 | won | +10 | 782 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 18 | won | +13 | 773 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | 760 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 19 | lost | -19 | 778 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 19 | lost | -19 | 797 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 19 | won | +10 | 816 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 1.62 | 19 | won | +12 | 807 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 19 | won | +13 | 795 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 19 | lost | -19 | 781 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 19 | lost | -19 | 800 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 19 | won | +14 | 820 |
| 09.10.26 | Chicken Coop – DETONATE | Chicken Coop | 1.81 | 19 | won | +15 | 805 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 19 | won | +5 | 790 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 19 | lost | -19 | 786 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 805 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 19 | lost | -19 | 795 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 19 | won | +6 | 815 |
| 08.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – Procyon | Bounty Hunters | 1.82 | 19 | won | +15 | 808 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 19 | won | +9 | 793 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | RBLS | 1.55 | 18 | won | +10 | 784 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 19 | lost | -19 | 774 |
| 07.10.26 | Revise – Banda Chuya | Revise | 1.59 | 19 | lost | -19 | 792 |
| 07.10.26 | The KnockoutX – The Huns | The Huns | 1.71 | 20 | lost | -20 | 812 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 19 | won | +8 | 831 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 20 | lost | -20 | 823 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | PURE | 1.53 | 20 | won | +10 | 843 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 833 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 853 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 20 | lost | -20 | 837 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 20 | won | +17 | 857 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 20 | won | +12 | 840 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 19 | won | +11 | 828 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 19 | won | +6 | 817 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | Eternal Fire | 1.51 | 19 | won | +10 | 812 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 19 | won | +9 | 802 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 19 | won | +6 | 793 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 19 | lost | -19 | 787 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 19 | lost | -19 | 806 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 19 | won | +15 | 826 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 811 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 831 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 20 | won | +11 | 851 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 840 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 835 |
| 01.10.26 | HOTU – Nemesis | HOTU | 1.87 | 20 | lost | -20 | 855 |
| 01.10.26 | SAW – NT | SAW | 1.59 | 20 | won | +12 | 876 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 20 | won | +12 | 864 |
| 30.09.26 | EVO Elite – Magnum | Magnum | 1.87 | 21 | won | +19 | 852 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 22 | lost | -22 | 833 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 22 | lost | -22 | 855 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 22 | won | +15 | 877 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 22 | lost | -22 | 863 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 22 | won | +14 | 885 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.