Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-376u
ROI
-1.4%
win rate
58%
bets
545
drawdown
82%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+271u
period 6top-up-174u
period 5top-up-572u
period 4top-up-41u
period 3top-up-334u
period 2profit withdrawn+495u
period 1top-up-22u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 545 | 58% | +786 | +6.4% | 42.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 545 | 58% | -73 | -1.3% | 23.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 545 | 58% | -74 | -1.4% | 24% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 545 | 58% | -146 | -1.3% | 42.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 545 | 58% | -376 | -1.4% | 82% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 545 | 58% | -899 | -1.7% | 124.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 545, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | FORZE Reload | 1.69 | 61 | won | +43 | 624 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 60 | won | +23 | 581 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 58 | won | +50 | 558 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 56 | won | +39 | 508 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 54 | won | +43 | 469 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 52 | won | +41 | 426 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 50 | won | +24 | 385 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 53 | lost | -53 | 361 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 51 | won | +41 | 414 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 54 | lost | -54 | 373 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.53 | 52 | won | +28 | 427 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | Ground Zero | 1.56 | 51 | won | +29 | 399 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 49 | won | +39 | 370 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Nexus | 1.78 | 47 | won | +37 | 331 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 50 | lost | -50 | 294 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 48 | won | +36 | 344 |
| 09.10.26 | Zomblers – Desi Boyz | Desi Boyz | 1.88 | 50 | lost | -50 | 308 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 53 | lost | -53 | 359 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 56 | lost | -56 | 412 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 54 | won | +27 | 467 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 57 | lost | -57 | 440 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 55 | won | +45 | 498 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 58 | lost | -58 | 453 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 61 | lost | -61 | 511 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | RBLS | 1.55 | 59 | won | +33 | 572 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 62 | lost | -62 | 539 |
| 07.10.26 | Ryvex – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 61 | won | +31 | 601 |
| 07.10.26 | Leo – Ryvex | Leo | 1.57 | 59 | won | +34 | 571 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 57 | won | +40 | 537 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 60 | lost | -60 | 496 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | PURE | 1.53 | 59 | won | +31 | 557 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 62 | lost | -62 | 525 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 59 | won | +48 | 587 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | G2 | 1.52 | 62 | lost | -62 | 539 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 60 | won | +51 | 601 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 63 | lost | -63 | 551 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 61 | won | +34 | 614 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 60 | won | +18 | 580 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.62 | 59 | won | +36 | 562 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.68 | 57 | won | +39 | 525 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 56 | won | +18 | 487 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 54 | won | +34 | 469 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 52 | won | +32 | 434 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 51 | won | +38 | 402 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 49 | won | +35 | 364 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 51 | lost | -51 | 329 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 50 | won | +27 | 380 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 48 | won | +33 | 353 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 51 | lost | -51 | 320 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | Lavked | 1.81 | 49 | won | +40 | 371 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 52 | lost | -52 | 332 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 50 | won | +30 | 383 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 40 | won | +20 | 353 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.55 | 42 | lost | -42 | 333 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 45 | lost | -45 | 376 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 43 | won | +29 | 421 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 46 | lost | -46 | 392 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 44 | won | +28 | 437 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 43 | won | +18 | 409 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 45 | lost | -45 | 391 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.