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Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-752u
ROI
-5.9%
win rate
56%
bets
1374
drawdown
80.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-111u
period 6top-up-235u
period 5top-up-258u
period 4top-up-16u
period 3top-up-53u
period 2top-up-116u
period 1profit withdrawn+36u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale116955%+86+0.3%51.1%Select
1% of bankroll137456%-752-5.9%80.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137456%-791-5.8%84.1%Select
2% of bankroll137456%-1426-6%138.8%Select
5% of bankroll137456%-3026-6.3%238.4%Select
10% of bankroll137456%-4669-6.5%299.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.389won+3248
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.499won+4245
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.559won+5241
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.559lost-9236
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.789won+7245
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.609lost-9238
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.719won+6247
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.769lost-9240
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.709won+6249
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.799won+7243
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.829won+7236
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.829lost-9229
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.489won+4238
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.359lost-9234
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.479won+4242
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.539lost-9238
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.819won+7247
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.509won+4240
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.719lost-9236
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.359won+3245
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.699won+6242
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.729won+6236
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.729lost-9229
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.519won+4238
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.459won+4234
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.789lost-9230
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGGround Zero1.569won+5238
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.809won+7233
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.889lost-9227
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.609won+5235
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.489lost-9230
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.589won+5239
09.10.26Acend – NexusNexus1.789won+7234
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.699won+6227
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.639lost-9221
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.459won+4230
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.369lost-9226
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.409lost-9235
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.659lost-9243
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.609lost-9252
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.829won+7261
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.799lost-9254
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.499lost-9263
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.819won+7272
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.739lost-9265
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.499won+4274
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.549won+5270
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.329won+3265
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.849won+8262
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.869lost-9254
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.429lost-9263
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.519lost-9272
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.759lost-9282
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.669won+6291
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.779lost-9285
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.399won+4294
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.739won+7291
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.879lost-9284
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.759lost-9293
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.509won+5303
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.