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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-791u
ROI
-5.8%
win rate
56%
bets
1374
drawdown
84.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-113u
period 6top-up-255u
period 5top-up-289u
period 4top-up-9u
period 3top-up-49u
period 2top-up-113u
period 1profit withdrawn+38u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale116955%+86+0.3%51.1%Select
1% of bankroll137456%-752-5.9%80.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137456%-791-5.8%84.1%Select
2% of bankroll137456%-1426-6%138.8%Select
5% of bankroll137456%-3026-6.3%238.4%Select
10% of bankroll137456%-4669-6.5%299.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4209
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5205
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5200
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-10195
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8205
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10197
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7207
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10200
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7210
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8203
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8195
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10187
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5197
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10192
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5202
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10197
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8207
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5199
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10194
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3204
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6910won+7201
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+7194
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7210lost-10187
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5110won+5197
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+5191
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7810lost-10187
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGGround Zero1.5610won+6197
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8010won+8191
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.8810lost-10183
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+6193
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-10187
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+6197
09.10.26Acend – NexusNexus1.7810won+8191
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6910won+7184
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-10177
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+5187
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-10182
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-10192
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6510lost-10202
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6010lost-10212
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8210won+8222
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7910lost-10214
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4910lost-10224
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8110won+8234
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-10226
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+5236
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5410won+5231
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3210won+3226
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8410won+8222
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8610lost-10214
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4210lost-10224
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5110lost-10234
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.7510lost-10244
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6610won+7254
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-10247
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3910won+4257
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7310won+7254
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8710lost-10246
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7510lost-10256
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5010won+5266
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.