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Always the favorite

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-4669u
ROI
-6.5%
win rate
56%
bets
1374
drawdown
299.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-787u
period 6top-up-978u
period 5top-up-978u
period 4top-up-552u
period 3top-up-629u
period 2top-up-883u
period 1profit withdrawn+138u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale116955%+86+0.3%51.1%Select
1% of bankroll137456%-752-5.9%80.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137456%-791-5.8%84.1%Select
2% of bankroll137456%-1426-6%138.8%Select
5% of bankroll137456%-3026-6.3%238.4%Select
10% of bankroll137456%-4669-6.5%299.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3821won+8-3669
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4920won+10-3677
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5519won+10-3686
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5521lost-21-3696
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7819won+15-3676
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6021lost-21-3691
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7120won+14-3669
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7622lost-22-3683
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7021won+14-3661
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7919won+15-3676
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8218won+14-3691
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8220lost-20-3705
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4819won+9-3686
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3521lost-21-3695
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4720won+9-3674
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5322lost-22-3683
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8120won+16-3661
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5019won+10-3678
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7122lost-22-3687
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3521won+7-3666
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6920won+13-3673
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7218won+13-3686
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7220lost-20-3700
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5119won+10-3679
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4518won+8-3689
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7820lost-20-3697
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGGround Zero1.5619won+11-3677
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8018won+14-3688
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.8820lost-20-3702
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6019won+11-3682
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4821lost-21-3694
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5820won+11-3673
09.10.26Acend – NexusNexus1.7818won+14-3684
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6917won+12-3698
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6319lost-19-3710
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4518won+8-3691
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3620lost-20-3699
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4023lost-23-3679
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6525lost-25-3657
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6028lost-28-3632
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8226won+21-3604
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7929lost-29-3625
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4932lost-32-3596
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8129won+24-3565
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7333lost-33-3589
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4931won+15-3556
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5429won+16-3571
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3229won+9-3587
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8426won+22-3596
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8629lost-29-3618
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4233lost-33-3589
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5136lost-36-3557
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.7540lost-40-3521
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6638won+25-3480
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7742lost-42-3505
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3940won+16-3463
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7338won+27-3479
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8742lost-42-3506
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7546lost-46-3465
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5044won+22-3418
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.