?

Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-865u
ROI
-3.3%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
94.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-76u
period 6top-up-331u
period 5top-up-308u
period 4top-up-65u
period 3top-up-87u
period 2top-up-99u
period 1profit withdrawn+101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Selected
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Select
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Select
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.389won+4135
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.499won+4132
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.559won+5127
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.669won+6122
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.469lost-9116
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.749lost-9125
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.559lost-9135
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.659won+6144
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.729lost-9138
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.439won+4147
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.789won+7143
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.609lost-9136
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.719won+7145
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.409won+4139
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.679won+6135
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.609won+5129
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.769lost-9124
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.809won+7133
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.709won+6126
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.719won+6119
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.839won+7113
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.679won+6105
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.789won+799
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.459won+493
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.729won+689
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.469won+482
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.669lost-978
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.539won+587
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.799won+782
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.749lost-976
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.779lost-984
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.509won+493
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.749lost-989
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.829won+798
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.829lost-990
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.489won+499
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.359lost-995
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.559won+5104
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.879lost-999
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.479won+4108
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.539lost-9104
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.819won+7113
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.299won+3106
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.409won+4103
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.609won+5100
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.509lost-994
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.509won+4103
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.699lost-999
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.739won+7108
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.699won+6101
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.659won+695
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.639lost-990
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.739lost-998
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.699won+6107
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.719lost-9101
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.419won+4110
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.859lost-9107
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.779lost-9116
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.829won+7125
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.429won+4117
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.