Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3144u
ROI
-2.9%
win rate
57%
bets
2828
drawdown
154.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-727u
period 6top-up-994u
period 5top-up-998u
period 4top-up-970u
period 3top-up-962u
period 2top-up-977u
period 1profit withdrawn+2484u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1227 | 56% | +392 | +1.1% | 47.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2828 | 57% | -1075 | -4.2% | 112.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2828 | 57% | -1192 | -4.2% | 122.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2828 | 57% | -1923 | -4.2% | 169.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2828 | 57% | -3144 | -2.9% | 154.5% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 2828 | 57% | -3274 | -3.9% | 200.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2828, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FOKUS – Younglings | FOKUS | 1.58 | 26 | won | +15 | -2144 |
| 14.10.26 | Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTEC | Black Phoenix | 1.76 | 24 | won | +18 | -2159 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | HOTU | 1.77 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2178 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2151 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 29 | won | +11 | -2121 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 27 | won | +13 | -2132 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | HOTU | 1.84 | 25 | won | +21 | -2146 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | Rooster | 1.66 | 24 | won | +15 | -2167 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 26 | lost | -26 | -2182 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 24 | won | +21 | -2156 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2177 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 1.65 | 25 | won | +16 | -2150 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | SUKEBAN | 1.72 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2167 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 27 | won | +11 | -2139 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 25 | won | +19 | -2150 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2169 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 26 | won | +18 | -2142 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 25 | won | +10 | -2160 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Liquid | 100 Thieves | 1.76 | 23 | won | +17 | -2170 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.60 | 22 | won | +13 | -2187 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 24 | lost | -24 | -2200 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 23 | won | +16 | -2176 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 21 | won | +17 | -2192 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Rooster | 1.71 | 19 | won | +14 | -2209 |
| 13.10.26 | Chicken Coop – Zomblers | Zomblers | 1.82 | 22 | lost | -22 | -2223 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | LP | 1.67 | 20 | won | +14 | -2201 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | 6666 | 1.78 | 19 | won | +15 | -2214 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 18 | won | +8 | -2229 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.72 | 17 | won | +12 | -2237 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 16 | won | +7 | -2249 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.34 | 16 | won | +5 | -2257 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 15 | won | +8 | -2262 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 14 | won | +11 | -2270 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Lynn Vision | 1.75 | 13 | won | +10 | -2281 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | Fire Flux | 1.77 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2290 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 13 | won | +7 | -2276 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | Fruju | 1.74 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2283 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 14 | won | +11 | -2268 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.66 | 13 | won | +9 | -2279 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 12 | won | +9 | -2288 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2296 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 13 | won | +7 | -2283 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.65 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2290 |
| 11.10.26 | BET-M – PRIVATE | BET-M | 1.87 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2276 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 15 | won | +12 | -2260 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2272 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 16 | won | +5 | -2256 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 15 | won | +6 | -2260 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.60 | 14 | won | +8 | -2266 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2275 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 15 | won | +7 | -2259 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Ground Zero | 1.69 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2266 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.69 | 16 | won | +11 | -2250 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | Abyssal | 1.73 | 15 | won | +11 | -2261 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Overtake Sector | 1.63 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2271 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | DETONATE | 1.62 | 15 | won | +10 | -2255 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | regain | 1.65 | 14 | won | +9 | -2264 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 14 | won | +6 | -2274 |
| 11.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – LP | Bounty Hunters | 1.86 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2280 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | Procyon | 1.71 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2264 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.