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Always the favorite

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-2046u
ROI
-4.4%
win rate
57%
bets
2825
drawdown
199.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+48u
period 6top-up-397u
period 5top-up-446u
period 4top-up-401u
period 3top-up-391u
period 2top-up-451u
period 1top-up-8u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale18656%-616-12.6%76.4%Select
1% of bankroll282557%-1083-4.2%117.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282557%-1131-4%125%Select
2% of bankroll282557%-2046-4.4%199.5%Selected
5% of bankroll282557%-4107-4.7%318.6%Select
10% of bankroll282557%-5669-5.3%331.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2825, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6921won+14-1046
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3821won+8-1060
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4920won+10-1068
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8420won+17-1078
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6620won+13-1095
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4620lost-20-1108
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5521lost-21-1088
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8720won+18-1067
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6520won+13-1085
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7220lost-20-1098
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4320won+9-1077
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+15-1086
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6020lost-20-1101
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7120won+14-1081
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4020won+8-1095
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7620won+15-1103
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8719won+17-1118
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7620lost-20-1135
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7019won+14-1115
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8019won+15-1129
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7119won+13-1144
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8318won+15-1157
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6718won+12-1172
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7818won+14-1184
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4518won+8-1198
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7217won+13-1206
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4617won+8-1219
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6618lost-18-1227
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5318won+9-1209
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7917won+14-1218
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7418lost-18-1232
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7718lost-18-1215
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5018won+9-1197
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7418lost-18-1205
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8218won+15-1187
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6618won+12-1202
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4817won+8-1214
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3518lost-18-1222
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5518won+10-1204
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4717won+8-1214
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6518lost-18-1222
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8118won+14-1204
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5318lost-18-1218
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2918won+5-1200
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4018won+7-1206
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6017won+10-1213
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5018lost-18-1223
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8618lost-18-1205
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6919lost-19-1187
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6918won+13-1169
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7318won+13-1181
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6518won+12-1194
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7318lost-18-1206
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6318lost-18-1188
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4218won+8-1169
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4118won+8-1177
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8219lost-19-1184
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8519lost-19-1166
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7719lost-19-1147
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8219won+16-1128
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.