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Always the favorite

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1626u
ROI
-3.4%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
154.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-161u
period 6top-up-574u
period 5top-up-538u
period 4top-up-150u
period 3top-up-184u
period 2top-up-218u
period 1profit withdrawn+200u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Selected
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Select
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3817won+6-626
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4916won+8-632
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5516won+9-640
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6616won+11-649
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4616lost-16-660
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7417lost-17-643
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5517lost-17-626
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6517won+11-609
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7217lost-17-620
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4317won+7-603
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7817won+13-610
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6017lost-17-623
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7117won+12-606
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4017won+7-618
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6717won+11-625
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6016won+10-636
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7617lost-17-646
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8016won+13-629
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7016won+11-642
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7116won+11-654
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8316won+13-665
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6716won+10-678
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7815won+12-688
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4515won+7-700
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7215won+11-707
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4615won+7-718
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6615lost-15-725
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5315won+8-710
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7915won+12-718
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7415lost-15-729
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7715lost-15-714
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5015won+8-699
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7415lost-15-706
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8215won+12-691
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8216lost-16-703
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4815won+7-688
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3516lost-16-695
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5516won+9-680
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8716lost-16-688
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4716won+7-672
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5316lost-16-680
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8116won+13-664
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2916won+5-676
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4016won+6-681
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6015won+9-687
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5016lost-16-696
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5016won+8-681
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6916lost-16-688
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7316won+11-672
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6915won+11-684
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6515won+10-694
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6316lost-16-704
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7316lost-16-689
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6916won+11-673
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7116lost-16-684
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4116won+7-668
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8516lost-16-674
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7716lost-16-658
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8216won+13-642
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4216won+7-655
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.