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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-915u
ROI
-3.2%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
99.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-69u
period 6top-up-378u
period 5top-up-350u
period 4top-up-54u
period 3top-up-80u
period 2top-up-85u
period 1profit withdrawn+101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Select
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Select
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+485
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+581
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+576
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+771
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-1064
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-1074
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-1084
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+694
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-1088
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+498
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+894
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-1086
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+796
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+489
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+785
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+678
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-1072
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+882
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+774
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+767
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+860
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+752
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+845
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+537
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+733
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+525
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-1021
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+531
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+826
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-1018
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-1028
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+538
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-1033
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+843
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-1034
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+544
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-1040
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+650
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-1044
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+554
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-1050
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+860
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+351
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+449
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+645
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-1039
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+549
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-1044
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+754
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+746
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+639
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-1033
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-1043
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+753
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-1046
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+456
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-1052
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-1062
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+872
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+464
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.