Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-6u
ROI
-0%
win rate
54%
bets
661
drawdown
61.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+524u
period 1profit withdrawn+470u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 661 | 54% | -6 | -0% | 61.6% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -856 | -7.8% | 86.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1249 | 53% | -948 | -7.6% | 96.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -1546 | -8.1% | 155.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -2881 | -8.7% | 281% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -3749 | -9.5% | 352.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 661, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.07.26 | PARIVISION – FaZe | FaZe | 1.86 | 627 | lost | -627 | 994 |
| 11.07.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.66 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1621 |
| 11.07.26 | 5star – Lynn Vision | 5star | 1.75 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1941 |
| 11.07.26 | Voca – regain | regain | 1.70 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2101 |
| 11.07.26 | Sharks – BESTIA | BESTIA | 1.74 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2181 |
| 11.07.26 | Yawara – MIBR Academy | Yawara | 1.78 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2221 |
| 10.07.26 | Fake do Biru – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2241 |
| 10.07.26 | PURE – Tricksters | Tricksters | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 2251 |
| 10.07.26 | B8 – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 2244 |
| 10.07.26 | WBT – Just Players | WBT | 1.87 | 20 | won | +17 | 2238 |
| 10.07.26 | PARIVISION – BIG | BIG | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2220 |
| 10.07.26 | LAG – Overtake Sector | LAG | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 2230 |
| 10.07.26 | regain – Club 333 | regain | 1.84 | 40 | won | +34 | 2221 |
| 10.07.26 | BESTIA – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.88 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2188 |
| 10.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – Imperial | Bounty Hunters | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2208 |
| 09.07.26 | UNO MILLE – paiN Academy | UNO MILLE | 1.80 | 10 | won | +8 | 2218 |
| 09.07.26 | mellren – PURE | mellren | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 2210 |
| 09.07.26 | paiN – METANOIA Wolves | paiN | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 2203 |
| 09.07.26 | M80 – WINNERS | M80 | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 2195 |
| 09.07.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 2186 |
| 09.07.26 | RUSTEC – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 40 | won | +20 | 2181 |
| 08.07.26 | Imperial – Isurus | Isurus | 1.87 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2161 |
| 08.07.26 | Patins da Ferrari – Fluxo | Patins da Ferrari | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2181 |
| 08.07.26 | Atreides – eternal premium | Atreides | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 2191 |
| 07.07.26 | UNO MILLE – Patins da Ferrari | UNO MILLE | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2174 |
| 07.07.26 | LP – BESTIA Academy | LP | 1.59 | 20 | won | +12 | 2184 |
| 07.07.26 | Isurus – Yawara | Yawara | 1.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2172 |
| 07.07.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – The Last Resort | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.81 | 80 | won | +65 | 2182 |
| 06.07.26 | Fake do Biru – VEXA | VEXA | 1.87 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2117 |
| 06.07.26 | Fluxo – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2157 |
| 06.07.26 | ALKA – MAGICOS | MAGICOS | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2177 |
| 05.07.26 | paiN Academy – Red Feet | paiN Academy | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 2187 |
| 05.07.26 | Endless Journey – SAW Youngsters | Endless Journey | 1.66 | 80 | won | +53 | 2179 |
| 05.07.26 | EYEBALLERS – FaZe | EYEBALLERS | 1.87 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2126 |
| 05.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Honvéd | Inner Circle Academy | 1.78 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2166 |
| 05.07.26 | B8 – BIG | B8 | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2186 |
| 05.07.26 | MIBR – 9z | 9z | 1.85 | 10 | won | +9 | 2196 |
| 04.07.26 | Diamant – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 2188 |
| 04.07.26 | Team hooch – Team shoke | Team shoke | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2171 |
| 04.07.26 | m0nSt3rS – CarritoSpain | m0nSt3rS | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 2181 |
| 04.07.26 | MIBR Academy – VEXA | MIBR Academy | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2164 |
| 04.07.26 | FaZe – 3DMAX | FaZe | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 2174 |
| 04.07.26 | Team Aunkere – Team shoke | Team shoke | 1.77 | 40 | won | +31 | 2166 |
| 04.07.26 | ex-MANA – WBT | ex-MANA | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2136 |
| 04.07.26 | BIG – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2156 |
| 03.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MAGICOS | MAGICOS | 1.86 | 40 | won | +34 | 2166 |
| 03.07.26 | los kogutos – DH Premium | DH Premium | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2131 |
| 03.07.26 | GUARA – Procyon | Procyon | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2151 |
| 03.07.26 | FaZe – SINNERS | FaZe | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 2161 |
| 03.07.26 | Subtop De France – DONSTU | DONSTU | 1.74 | 20 | won | +15 | 2154 |
| 03.07.26 | eternal premium – Sashi Academy | Sashi Academy | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2139 |
| 03.07.26 | Luminosity – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 2149 |
| 03.07.26 | regain – raisedbypixels | regain | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 2141 |
| 02.07.26 | Yawara – Red Feet | Yawara | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 2133 |
| 02.07.26 | eSuba – DEFEATERS | DEFEATERS | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2117 |
| 02.07.26 | Patins da Ferrari – BESTIA Academy | Patins da Ferrari | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 2127 |
| 02.07.26 | Spirit HU – DEFEATERS | DEFEATERS | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 2118 |
| 02.07.26 | B8 – Nemesis | Nemesis | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | 2110 |
| 02.07.26 | Entropy – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 2103 |
| 02.07.26 | 9z – SINNERS | 9z | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 2097 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.