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Always the favorite

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-4362u
ROI
-5.3%
win rate
57%
bets
2832
drawdown
393.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-471u
period 6top-up-874u
period 5top-up-714u
period 4top-up-759u
period 3top-up-641u
period 2top-up-727u
period 1top-up-176u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale118656%-211-0.6%63.1%Select
1% of bankroll283257%-1057-4.1%109.9%Select
Flat (10 units)283257%-1073-3.8%112%Select
2% of bankroll283257%-2050-4.4%205%Select
5% of bankroll283257%-4362-5.3%393.2%Select
10% of bankroll283257%-6131-6.4%482.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsFOKUS1.5826won+15-3362
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4725won+12-3376
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECBlack Phoenix1.7624won+18-3388
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.8425lost-25-3407
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.7327lost-27-3381
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8628lost-28-3354
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.7727won+21-3326
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3827won+10-3347
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7628lost-28-3357
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4927won+13-3329
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8426won+22-3343
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6625won+17-3365
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4627lost-27-3381
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5528lost-28-3355
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7430lost-30-3326
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6529won+19-3297
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7230lost-30-3315
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4330won+13-3285
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7829won+22-3298
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6030lost-30-3320
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7129won+21-3290
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4028won+11-3311
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7627won+21-3322
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6027won+16-3343
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7628lost-28-3359
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7027won+19-3331
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8026won+21-3350
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7125won+18-3370
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8226lost-26-3388
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6226won+16-3362
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7825won+19-3378
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4524won+11-3397
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7223won+17-3408
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4623won+10-3425
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3422won+8-3435
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7922won+17-3443
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5321won+11-3460
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7422lost-22-3471
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7723lost-23-3449
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5023won+11-3426
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7424lost-24-3437
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8223won+19-3413
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6622won+15-3432
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4822won+10-3447
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3523lost-23-3457
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5522won+12-3434
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8723lost-23-3446
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4723won+11-3423
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5324lost-24-3434
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8123won+19-3410
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2923won+7-3428
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4022won+9-3435
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6022won+13-3444
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5023lost-23-3457
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5022won+11-3434
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6923lost-23-3445
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7323won+17-3421
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6922won+15-3438
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6323lost-23-3453
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6222won+14-3430
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.