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Always the favorite

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-3208u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
57%
bets
5559
drawdown
328%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-164u
period 6top-up-509u
period 5top-up-685u
period 4top-up-760u
period 3top-up-584u
period 2top-up-357u
period 1top-up-148u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47553%-1439-9.6%140.4%Selected
1% of bankroll555957%-1825-3.8%189.3%Select
Flat (10 units)555957%-2081-3.7%220.1%Select
2% of bankroll555957%-3208-3.9%328%Select
5% of bankroll555957%-5541-3.9%554.7%Select
10% of bankroll555957%-6698-3.9%352.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5559, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsFOKUS1.5817won+10-2208
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4716won+8-2217
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECBlack Phoenix1.7616won+12-2225
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.7716lost-16-2237
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6916won+11-2221
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8617lost-17-2232
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3816won+6-2215
14.10.26Falcons – Ninjas in PyjamasFalcons1.8716won+14-2222
14.10.26Bushido Wildcats – BAKSBushido Wildcats1.7916lost-16-2236
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4916won+8-2219
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenex-RUSTEC1.7716won+12-2227
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8416won+13-2240
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5516won+9-2253
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6615won+10-2262
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4616lost-16-2272
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7416lost-16-2256
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8716won+14-2240
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5516lost-16-2254
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6516won+10-2237
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7216lost-16-2248
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4316won+7-2232
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7816won+12-2238
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6016lost-16-2251
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7116won+11-2235
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4016won+6-2246
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.8516lost-16-2252
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.5316won+9-2236
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6716won+11-2245
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7616won+12-2255
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6015won+9-2267
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8715won+13-2276
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7615lost-15-2289
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7015won+11-2274
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8015won+12-2285
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7115won+11-2296
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.6315lost-15-2307
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8315won+12-2292
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8215lost-15-2304
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.7015lost-15-2289
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6715won+10-2274
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6215won+9-2284
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.5815won+9-2293
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7815won+11-2302
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4514won+7-2313
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8314won+12-2320
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4515lost-15-2331
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7214won+10-2317
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4614won+6-2327
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6614lost-14-2334
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3414won+5-2319
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5314won+8-2324
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7914won+11-2332
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7514won+10-2343
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7414lost-14-2353
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7714lost-14-2339
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5014won+7-2325
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8115lost-15-2332
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7415lost-15-2317
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7515won+11-2302
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8214won+12-2313
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.