Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-37u
ROI
-33.8%
win rate
45%
bets
11
drawdown
4.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+9u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2top-up-6u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 11 | 45% | -37 | -33.8% | 4.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 11 | 45% | -38 | -34.1% | 4.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 11 | 45% | -73 | -19.1% | 15.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 11 | 45% | -73 | -33.4% | 9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 11 | 45% | -176 | -32.3% | 21.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 11 | 45% | -330 | -30.5% | 40.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 11, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 963 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 973 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 969 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 964 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 959 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 954 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 964 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 994 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.