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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-756u
ROI
-5.8%
win rate
56%
bets
1377
drawdown
78.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-138u
period 6top-up-114u
period 5top-up-187u
period 4top-up-80u
period 3top-up-75u
period 2top-up-158u
period 1top-up-3u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale117056%+70+0.2%60.3%Select
1% of bankroll137756%-756-5.8%78.3%Selected
Flat (10 units)137756%-765-5.6%79.4%Select
2% of bankroll137756%-1484-6%146.7%Select
5% of bankroll137756%-3375-6.4%302.5%Select
10% of bankroll137756%-5333-6.6%453.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1377, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.479won+4244
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.779lost-9240
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.869lost-9248
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.389won+3257
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.499won+4254
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.849won+7249
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.559lost-9242
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.789won+7251
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.609lost-9244
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.719won+6253
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.769lost-9247
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.709won+6255
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.539won+5249
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.829won+7245
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.669won+6238
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.488won+4232
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.359lost-9228
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.659lost-9237
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.539lost-9245
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.819won+7254
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.509won+4247
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.829lost-9243
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.319won+3251
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.529won+4249
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.729won+6244
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.729lost-9238
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.519won+4247
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.459won+4242
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREDesi Boyz1.839lost-9238
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.789lost-9247
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.629lost-9256
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.809won+7265
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.609won+5258
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersJust Players1.579won+5252
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.589won+5247
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.739lost-9243
09.10.26Saint Sinners – MOUZ NXTSaint Sinners1.709won+6251
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.639lost-9245
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.459won+4254
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.409lost-9250
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.759won+6259
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.659lost-9252
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.609lost-9261
09.10.26Procyon – BESTIA AcademyBESTIA Academy1.889lost-9270
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.799lost-9279
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.509lost-9288
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.239won+2297
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.739lost-9295
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.549won+5304
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.499won+5299
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.849won+8295
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.819won+7287
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.669won+6280
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.429lost-9274
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.519lost-9283
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.759lost-9292
08.10.26Acend – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.519lost-9301
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.779lost-9311
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.399won+4320
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.399lost-9316
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.