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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1112u
ROI
-4.4%
win rate
57%
bets
2826
drawdown
116.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-33u
period 6top-up-295u
period 5top-up-248u
period 4top-up-180u
period 3top-up-184u
period 2top-up-209u
period 1profit withdrawn+37u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale18656%-638-12.7%77.4%Select
1% of bankroll282657%-1112-4.4%116.5%Select
Flat (10 units)282657%-1167-4.1%122.1%Select
2% of bankroll282657%-2091-4.5%196.7%Select
5% of bankroll282657%-4157-5%308.1%Select
10% of bankroll282657%-5646-5.4%336.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2826, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4710won+5-112
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8610lost-10-116
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4-106
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5-110
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+8-115
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.669won+6-123
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-129
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-120
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-10-110
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-100
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-106
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-97
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-101
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-108
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-99
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-105
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+7-109
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-117
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-122
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-113
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-120
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.719won+7-127
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.839won+8-134
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.629won+6-141
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.789won+7-147
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.459won+4-154
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.729won+7-159
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.469won+4-165
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.349won+3-169
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.539won+5-172
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.799won+7-177
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.749lost-9-184
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.779lost-9-175
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.509won+5-166
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.749lost-9-171
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.829won+7-161
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.829lost-9-169
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.729won+7-160
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.359lost-9-166
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.559won+5-157
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.479won+4-162
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.819won+7-166
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.539lost-9-174
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.819won+7-165
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.299won+3-172
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.409won+4-175
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.609won+5-178
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.509lost-9-183
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.869lost-9-174
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.699lost-9-165
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.739won+7-156
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.699won+6-163
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.639lost-9-169
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.739lost-9-160
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.659won+6-151
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.699won+6-157
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.419won+4-163
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.719lost-9-167
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.859lost-9-157
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.779lost-9-148
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.