Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+214u
ROI
+33.5%
win rate
38%
bets
16
drawdown
15%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+133u
period 2profit withdrawn+151u
period 1top-up-70u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 16 | 38% | +214 | +33.5% | 15% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 16 | 38% | -22 | -13.7% | 5.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -22 | -13.8% | 5.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -45 | -13.9% | 11.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -114 | -14.2% | 27.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -241 | -14.9% | 52.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Nemiga Gaming | 3.13 | 80 | won | +170 | 1214 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1044 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1084 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1104 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 1114 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1103 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1091 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 80 | won | +85 | 1081 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 996 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1036 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | avice Team | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1056 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.35 | 160 | won | +216 | 1066 |
| 20.09.26 | Inner Circle – Yellow Submarine | Inner Circle | 2.21 | 80 | lost | -80 | 850 |
| 29.08.26 | Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 930 |
| 29.08.26 | DYNASTY – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 23.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.