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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-3971u
ROI
-89.3%
win rate
4%
bets
487
drawdown
397.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-59u
period 24top-up-165u
period 23top-up-183u
period 22top-up-219u
period 21top-up-191u
period 20top-up-165u
period 19top-up-140u
period 18top-up-161u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4874%-3971-89.3%397.1%Selected
Flat (10 units)4874%-4336-89%433.6%Select
2% of bankroll4874%-7292-89.5%729.2%Select
5% of bankroll4874%-14329-90.2%1432.9%Select
Quarter Kelly4763%-18473-94.4%1847.3%Select
10% of bankroll4874%-20184-91.3%2018.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 487, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-2971
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-2962
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-2952
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-2942
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-2933
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-2923
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.008lost-8-2913
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.009lost-9-2904
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.009lost-9-2896
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.009lost-9-2887
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.009lost-9-2878
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.009lost-9-2870
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.009lost-9-2861
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.009lost-9-2852
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.609lost-9-2843
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.609lost-9-2834
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.009lost-9-2824
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.909lost-9-2815
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-2806
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-2796
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2787
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-2777
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-2767
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2757
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.808lost-8-2747
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.008lost-8-2739
27.06.26Natus Vincere – L1ga TeamNatus Vincere2.258lost-8-2731
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.009lost-9-2722
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.009lost-9-2714
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.209lost-9-2705
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.009lost-9-2696
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.009lost-9-2688
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.009lost-9-2679
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.009lost-9-2670
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.209lost-9-2661
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2652
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopePhenomenon2.909won+17-2642
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2660
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.009lost-9-2651
07.06.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team2.259lost-9-2641
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.109lost-9-2632
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2623
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0010lost-10-2613
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0010lost-10-2603
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0010lost-10-2594
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0010lost-10-2584
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6010lost-10-2574
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.008lost-8-2564
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingTeam Yandex2.708lost-8-2556
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.308lost-8-2548
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.508lost-8-2540
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.008lost-8-2532
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.008lost-8-2524
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.008lost-8-2516
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-2507
26.05.26GLYPH – LGD GamingGLYPH2.359lost-9-2499
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.009lost-9-2490
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.009lost-9-2481
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.009lost-9-2473
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion8.509lost-9-2464
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.