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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-109u
ROI
-35.2%
win rate
28%
bets
32
drawdown
12.9%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-17u
period 2top-up-62u
period 1top-up-30u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3228%-109-35.2%12.9%Selected
Flat (10 units)3228%-109-34.2%13.1%Select
2% of bankroll3228%-216-36.2%25.6%Select
5% of bankroll3228%-528-39.2%61.5%Select
10% of bankroll3228%-1005-43.5%114.4%Select
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 32, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1310won+21891
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10871
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10880
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10890
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10900
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10910
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10920
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11931
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12920
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10908
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10898
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.079won+10908
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.759won+16898
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.469lost-9882
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.439won+13891
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.219lost-9878
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.549lost-9887
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.109lost-9897
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.359won+12906
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.189lost-9894
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.379lost-9903
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.069won+10912
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.229lost-9902
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4110lost-10912
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2110lost-10921
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2510lost-10931
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0210lost-10941
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2410lost-10950
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0610lost-10960
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-10970
29.08.26summer bear – Team Lynxsummer bear2.0310lost-10980
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.