Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-21580u
ROI
-89%
win rate
4%
bets
1237
drawdown
2158%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-720u
period 24top-up-822u
period 23top-up-900u
period 22top-up-942u
period 21top-up-942u
period 20top-up-871u
period 19top-up-905u
period 18top-up-947u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1237 | 4% | -8646 | -87.2% | 864.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1237 | 4% | -10731 | -86.8% | 1073.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1237 | 4% | -14183 | -87.6% | 1418.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1237 | 4% | -21580 | -89% | 2158% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 1201 | 3% | -23851 | -95.1% | 2385.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1237 | 4% | -24239 | -90.7% | 2423.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1237, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 15 | lost | -15 | -20580 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 16 | lost | -16 | -20565 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 16 | lost | -16 | -20550 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 11.00 | 17 | lost | -17 | -20533 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 14.00 | 18 | lost | -18 | -20516 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | 1w Team | 5.30 | 19 | lost | -19 | -20498 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -20479 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -20459 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -20438 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -20416 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 4.00 | 25 | lost | -25 | -20392 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | Rune Eaters Arise | 12.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -20368 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | Ilbirs eSports | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -20342 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 29 | lost | -29 | -20315 |
| 06.08.26 | No Hoodwink – Level UP | Level UP | 2.25 | 27 | won | +34 | -20286 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -20320 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 12.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -20291 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 32 | lost | -32 | -20261 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Vici Gaming | 3.60 | 33 | lost | -33 | -20230 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 3.30 | 35 | lost | -35 | -20197 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 37 | lost | -37 | -20162 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -20125 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -20086 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -20046 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 45 | lost | -45 | -20003 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Daxak Team | 11.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -19958 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Midas Club | 14.00 | 50 | lost | -50 | -19910 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -19860 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -19851 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | L1ga Team | 8.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -19841 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 7.00 | 11 | lost | -11 | -19830 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 11 | lost | -11 | -19820 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 12 | lost | -12 | -19808 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 13 | lost | -13 | -19796 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 13 | lost | -13 | -19783 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 14 | lost | -14 | -19770 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Rostik Team | 10.00 | 15 | lost | -15 | -19756 |
| 29.07.26 | NS Team – Stray Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 16 | lost | -16 | -19741 |
| 28.07.26 | YBN Team – Team avice | YBN Team | 13.00 | 16 | lost | -16 | -19725 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 17 | lost | -17 | -19709 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 3.60 | 18 | lost | -18 | -19692 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Level UP | Nemiga Gaming | 7.50 | 19 | lost | -19 | -19673 |
| 21.07.26 | Team Lynx – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.40 | 18 | won | +25 | -19654 |
| 20.07.26 | Level UP – Ilbirs eSports | Ilbirs eSports | 10.00 | 19 | lost | -19 | -19679 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 3.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | -19660 |
| 20.07.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | Team Lynx | 10.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -19641 |
| 19.07.26 | Vici Gaming – Team Yandex | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -19620 |
| 18.07.26 | Team Yandex – PARIVISION | Team Yandex | 6.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -19598 |
| 18.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -19574 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -19550 |
| 14.07.26 | Team Liquid – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -19524 |
| 12.07.26 | 1w Team – Team Yandex | 1w Team | 15.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -19497 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.90 | 30 | lost | -30 | -19469 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | PlayTime | 5.80 | 32 | lost | -32 | -19439 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | REKONIX | 15.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -19407 |
| 10.07.26 | Team Nemesis – Vici Gaming | Team Nemesis | 13.00 | 35 | lost | -35 | -19374 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 37 | lost | -37 | -19339 |
| 08.07.26 | Vici Gaming – PARIVISION | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -19303 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 15.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -19264 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -19223 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.