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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-7094u
ROI
-95.5%
win rate
1%
bets
442
drawdown
709.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-114u
period 24top-up-291u
period 23top-up-332u
period 22top-up-384u
period 21top-up-345u
period 20top-up-291u
period 19top-up-261u
period 18top-up-254u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4421%-3859-95.4%385.9%Select
Flat (10 units)4421%-4210-95.2%421%Select
2% of bankroll4421%-7094-95.5%709.4%Selected
5% of bankroll4421%-13996-95.9%1399.6%Select
Quarter Kelly4401%-18300-96.6%1830%Select
10% of bankroll4421%-19865-96.6%1986.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 442, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0018lost-18-6094
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0018lost-18-6076
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0019lost-19-6057
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0019lost-19-6039
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0020lost-20-6019
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2020lost-20-6000
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0014lost-14-5980
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0015lost-15-5965
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0015lost-15-5950
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0015lost-15-5935
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0016lost-16-5920
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0016lost-16-5904
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0016lost-16-5888
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0017lost-17-5872
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6017lost-17-5855
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6017lost-17-5838
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0018lost-18-5821
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8018lost-18-5803
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0018lost-18-5785
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0019lost-19-5767
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-5748
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0020lost-20-5729
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0020lost-20-5709
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8014lost-14-5689
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0014lost-14-5675
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0014lost-14-5662
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0014lost-14-5647
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.2015lost-15-5633
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.0015lost-15-5618
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.0015lost-15-5603
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.0016lost-16-5588
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.0016lost-16-5572
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.2016lost-16-5556
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5540
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5523
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.0017lost-17-5506
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.1018lost-18-5489
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0018lost-18-5471
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0018lost-18-5453
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0019lost-19-5434
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0019lost-19-5415
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0020lost-20-5396
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6020lost-20-5377
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.0013lost-13-5357
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.3013lost-13-5344
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.5013lost-13-5331
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.0013lost-13-5318
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.0014lost-14-5305
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0014lost-14-5291
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0014lost-14-5277
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.0014lost-14-5263
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.0015lost-15-5249
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.0015lost-15-5234
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion8.5015lost-15-5219
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0016lost-16-5203
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritVirtus.pro15.0016lost-16-5188
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team10.0016lost-16-5172
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersTwo Move12.0017lost-17-5155
11.05.26Team Lynx – Two MoveTeam Lynx12.0017lost-17-5139
10.05.261w Team – PARIVISION1w Team15.0017lost-17-5122
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.