Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-13996u
ROI
-95.9%
win rate
1%
bets
442
drawdown
1399.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-265u
period 24top-up-582u
period 23top-up-642u
period 22top-up-708u
period 21top-up-661u
period 20top-up-582u
period 19top-up-537u
period 18top-up-528u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1070 | -100% | 107% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 442 | 1% | -3859 | -95.4% | 385.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 442 | 1% | -4210 | -95.2% | 421% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 442 | 1% | -7094 | -95.5% | 709.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 442 | 1% | -13996 | -95.9% | 1399.6% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 440 | 1% | -18300 | -96.6% | 1830% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 442 | 1% | -19865 | -96.6% | 1986.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 442, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -12996 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -12957 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -12916 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -12873 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -12828 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 50 | lost | -50 | -12781 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -12731 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -12709 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -12686 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -12661 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -12636 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -12609 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Rostik Team | 10.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -12580 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 32 | lost | -32 | -12550 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 3.60 | 33 | lost | -33 | -12519 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 3.60 | 35 | lost | -35 | -12485 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 37 | lost | -37 | -12451 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | PlayTime | 5.80 | 39 | lost | -39 | -12414 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | REKONIX | 15.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -12375 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -12334 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -12291 |
| 08.07.26 | Poor Rangers – BETBOOM Team | Poor Rangers | 15.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -12246 |
| 07.07.26 | Inner Circle – 1w Team | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 50 | lost | -50 | -12199 |
| 28.06.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 5.80 | 19 | lost | -19 | -12149 |
| 28.06.26 | By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE Team | ALOHADANCE Team | 13.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -12130 |
| 25.06.26 | Team Spirit – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 12.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -12110 |
| 24.06.26 | Recrent Team – Stray Team | Recrent Team | 10.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -12089 |
| 24.06.26 | Dread Team – DangerLyoha Team | DangerLyoha Team | 3.20 | 23 | lost | -23 | -12067 |
| 21.06.26 | InterActive Philippines – Mentality Monster | InterActive Philippines | 10.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -12044 |
| 21.06.26 | Grind Back – Carstensz Esports | Carstensz Esports | 13.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -12020 |
| 19.06.26 | summer bear – Power Rangers | summer bear | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -11994 |
| 17.06.26 | Power Rangers – Flame Esports | Flame Esports | 12.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -11967 |
| 16.06.26 | Flame Esports – Team Spirit Academy | Flame Esports | 4.20 | 30 | lost | -30 | -11939 |
| 13.06.26 | Estar Backs – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 32 | lost | -32 | -11909 |
| 11.06.26 | Team Nemesis – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -11877 |
| 10.06.26 | L1ga Team – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 11.00 | 35 | lost | -35 | -11844 |
| 06.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 3.10 | 37 | lost | -37 | -11809 |
| 05.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -11772 |
| 05.06.26 | Execration – REKONIX | Execration | 13.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -11734 |
| 04.06.26 | Carstensz Esports – REKONIX | Carstensz Esports | 12.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -11693 |
| 02.06.26 | L1ga Team – Poor Rangers | L1ga Team | 13.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -11650 |
| 02.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 13.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -11605 |
| 01.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 6.60 | 50 | lost | -50 | -11557 |
| 30.05.26 | Team Spirit – OG | OG | 15.00 | 15 | lost | -15 | -11507 |
| 28.05.26 | NS Club – Ramzes Club | NS Club | 5.30 | 16 | lost | -16 | -11492 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | LGD Gaming | 4.50 | 17 | lost | -17 | -11476 |
| 27.05.26 | OG – Team Yandex | OG | 15.00 | 18 | lost | -18 | -11459 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 15.00 | 19 | lost | -19 | -11441 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Falcons – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -11422 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -11402 |
| 24.05.26 | Recrent Team – Solo Team | Recrent Team | 12.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -11381 |
| 23.05.26 | Miposhka Team – Stray Team | Miposhka Team | 10.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -11359 |
| 22.05.26 | Aurora Gaming – Tundra Esports | Tundra Esports | 11.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -11336 |
| 17.05.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 8.50 | 26 | lost | -26 | -11312 |
| 16.05.26 | Tundra Esports – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -11286 |
| 15.05.26 | Virtus.pro – Team Spirit | Virtus.pro | 15.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -11259 |
| 14.05.26 | Natus Vincere – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 10.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -11231 |
| 12.05.26 | Two Move – Power Rangers | Two Move | 12.00 | 32 | lost | -32 | -11201 |
| 11.05.26 | Team Lynx – Two Move | Team Lynx | 12.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -11169 |
| 10.05.26 | 1w Team – PARIVISION | 1w Team | 15.00 | 35 | lost | -35 | -11136 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.