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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-24223u
ROI
-96%
win rate
2%
bets
1138
drawdown
2422.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-935u
period 24top-up-972u
period 23top-up-988u
period 22top-up-995u
period 21top-up-997u
period 20top-up-980u
period 19top-up-994u
period 18top-up-997u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll11382%-8507-92.8%850.7%Select
Flat (10 units)11382%-10508-92.3%1050.8%Select
2% of bankroll11382%-14009-93.3%1400.9%Select
5% of bankroll11382%-21476-94.6%2147.6%Select
Quarter Kelly11332%-23825-96.4%2382.5%Select
10% of bankroll11382%-24223-96%2422.3%Selected
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1138, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.007lost-7-23223
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.008lost-8-23215
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.009lost-9-23208
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0010lost-10-23199
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0011lost-11-23189
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3012lost-12-23178
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0014lost-14-23166
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0015lost-15-23152
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0017lost-17-23137
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0019lost-19-23121
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0021lost-21-23102
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0023lost-23-23081
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0025lost-25-23059
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0028lost-28-23033
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0031lost-31-23005
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0035lost-35-22973
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0039lost-39-22939
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6043lost-43-22900
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3048lost-48-22857
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0053lost-53-22809
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0059lost-59-22756
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0066lost-66-22697
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0073lost-73-22631
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2081lost-81-22558
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0090lost-90-22477
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.00100lost-100-22387
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.003lost-3-22287
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.003lost-3-22284
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.504lost-4-22281
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.004lost-4-22277
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.005lost-5-22273
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.005lost-5-22268
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.006lost-6-22263
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.006lost-6-22257
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.007lost-7-22250
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.008lost-8-22243
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.009lost-9-22235
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0010lost-10-22226
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0011lost-11-22217
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6012lost-12-22206
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5014lost-14-22194
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0015lost-15-22180
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6017lost-17-22165
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0019lost-19-22148
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0021lost-21-22130
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0023lost-23-22109
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0025lost-25-22086
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0028lost-28-22061
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0031lost-31-22033
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0035lost-35-22001
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8039lost-39-21966
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0043lost-43-21928
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0048lost-48-21885
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0053lost-53-21837
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0059lost-59-21784
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0066lost-66-21725
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0073lost-73-21659
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0081lost-81-21586
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0090lost-90-21505
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.00100lost-100-21415
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.