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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-14009u
ROI
-93.3%
win rate
2%
bets
1138
drawdown
1400.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-409u
period 24top-up-497u
period 23top-up-566u
period 22top-up-642u
period 21top-up-670u
period 20top-up-526u
period 19top-up-617u
period 18top-up-661u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll11382%-8507-92.8%850.7%Select
Flat (10 units)11382%-10508-92.3%1050.8%Select
2% of bankroll11382%-14009-93.3%1400.9%Selected
5% of bankroll11382%-21476-94.6%2147.6%Select
Quarter Kelly11332%-23825-96.4%2382.5%Select
10% of bankroll11382%-24223-96%2422.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1138, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0012lost-12-13009
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0012lost-12-12997
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0013lost-13-12985
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0013lost-13-12972
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0013lost-13-12959
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3013lost-13-12946
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0014lost-14-12933
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0014lost-14-12919
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0014lost-14-12905
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0014lost-14-12891
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0015lost-15-12877
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0015lost-15-12862
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0015lost-15-12847
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0016lost-16-12831
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0016lost-16-12816
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0016lost-16-12800
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0017lost-17-12783
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6017lost-17-12767
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3017lost-17-12750
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0018lost-18-12732
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0018lost-18-12715
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0018lost-18-12697
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0019lost-19-12678
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2019lost-19-12659
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0020lost-20-12640
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0020lost-20-12620
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-12600
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-12590
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5011lost-11-12580
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0011lost-11-12569
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0011lost-11-12558
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0011lost-11-12547
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0012lost-12-12536
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0012lost-12-12524
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0012lost-12-12512
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0012lost-12-12500
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0013lost-13-12488
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0013lost-13-12475
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0013lost-13-12462
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6013lost-13-12449
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5014lost-14-12436
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0014lost-14-12422
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6014lost-14-12408
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0014lost-14-12394
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0015lost-15-12380
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0015lost-15-12365
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0015lost-15-12350
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0016lost-16-12335
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0016lost-16-12319
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0016lost-16-12303
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8017lost-17-12287
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0017lost-17-12270
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0017lost-17-12253
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0018lost-18-12235
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0018lost-18-12218
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0018lost-18-12200
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-12181
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0019lost-19-12162
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0020lost-20-12143
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0020lost-20-12124
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.